Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Soc Sec XXXIII: Medicare Finance

I don’t claim to have studied Medicare in depth. They send me the Reports in the same envelope with the Social Security Reports and I browse through them, but that is pretty much it. So this post is more of a call for people more informed on aspects of Medicare to chip in. But I […]

Soc Sec XXXI: What is Title 1? How does it relate to worker/retiree ratio?

I suspect few people know that the original Social Security Act set up not one but two retirement systems. Title 2 set up what we recognize as Social Security today, a worker funded retirement based on an insurance model. Title 1 set up something quite different. The history can be found on the SSA.gov website […]

Soc Sec XXX: 2 Questions Not Asked in 2000; or 2004 Either

Lets take a trip in Mr. Wizard’s Way Back Machine all the way to the year 2000. At that point we see Social Security geek Webb jumping in excitement (being one of the few people in history to get excited over Social Security financials). What is the source of this rather odd behavior? Well it […]

Soc Sec XXIX: What does patriotism have to do with Social Security ‘crisis’

Well more than you might think. If you examine the economic and demographic assumptions that together generate the standard Intermediate Cost alternative of the Social Security Trustees you see a picture of a future America that is kind of bleak. I mean I lived through the period from 1968 to 1983 and economically it was […]

Soc Sec XXVIII: Infrastructure; or A New Direction for the Trust Funds

Even before the latest flooding, a group representing engineers said the United States needed to spend about $1 trillion more than it does now to bring infrastructure up to par with modern needs and standards. Wow. A trillion dollars is a lot of money. But as it happens we have in fact an identified revenue […]

Soc Sec XXV: Advisor Jason Furman on Obama’s Plan

For those of you not in the mood for numeric wonkery Biggs also points us to Furman’s response to Larry Lindsey’s Obama Turns FDR Upside Down. In an letter included in Obama’s Proposals for Social Security Considered Furman gives us this: There is much to disagree with in Larry Lindsey’s June 20 op-ed, “Obama Turns […]

Soc Sec XXIV: Treasury’s Social Security Issue Brief no. 5

More homework for Coberly and Arne (and any others who want to join in). Andrew Biggs alerts us to the release of the Treasury Department’s Issue Brief No. 5: Social Security Reform: Strategies for Progressive Benefit Adjustments The proposal seems quite interesting. Rather than simply readjusting the benefit schedule by some blunt change in method […]

Soc Sec XXIII: Low Cost, a Follow up on the Fairy Tale

Andrew Biggs was Deputy Commissioner of Social Security until February, previously he was a top analyst at Cato’s Project for Social Security Privatization, currently he is doing something quite similar at AEI. He has a blog called Notes on Social Security Reform which deserves more traffic, not just because Andrew is a nice guy and […]

Soc Sec XXII: What if? Low Cost as Fairy Tale

Although a lot of people are aware that ‘Low Cost is Out There’ it is difficult to impossible to find anyone who takes it seriously. Some experts simply dismiss it out of hand (Samwick), others point to the Stochastic Projections and simply deem it unlikely (Biggs), then again others reject it on grounds that run […]

Soc Sec XXI: When personal isn’t private

Just a brief shot before going out the door. In both the Obama and McCain camps there are separate but related discussion of ‘privatization’ and charges that in particular McCain is lying, or that the people who claim that Bush never supported ‘privatization’ are lunatics. But I fear that a rhetorical trap is being laid […]