…(as opposed to the measure’s peak) to suggest it as a cause: Investment:Consumption ratio peak/first year of decline Year-over-year declines in real household net worth (CPI-adjusted; base year 82–84) Quarters…

…you didn’t mention lead. So I will. The single parent household peak came later than the murder peak — as one would expect. Single parent households last (until another marriage…

…report The number of manufacturing jobs themselves has also turned down in advance of recessions ever since 1974. …the absolute number of manufacturing jobs reliably decelerates from peak before a…

…a share of GDP: Nominally this is down about 5% from peak; in real terms about 10%. This is far short of what is typically the case going into recessions,…

Coronavirus dashboard for April 9: Are new cases peaking? Or is a lack of testing failing to pick up continued spread Here is the update through yesterday (April 8) (NOTE:…

…looked at the South Korea data and realized that the peak was in once the percentage of positives to total tests started to decline. I suggested tracking that to Bill…

…total 59,059 (vs. day/day peak of +2,700 April 29) Seven day average of deaths:1,896 (vs. 2,058 peak on April 21) Number of tests: 305,118 (new daily peak*) Ratio of positive…

…increase of testing (from COVID Tracking Project) ***Number of deaths: 1,158, total 61,868 (vs. day/day peak of +2,700 April 29) Seven day average of deaths:1,815 (vs. 2,058 peak on April…

…leveling off again in the past few days: What is worse is that the number of new cases in the US has only declined -22% from its peak in the…

…governors react more strongly and start seriously enforcing mask-wearing and all that, we might well see that peak in two weeks as the peak, with a gradual decline going on…