…be clear, the rise in the unemployment rate since last April is cause for concern. If that continues, unemployment will definitely be a serious issue. But if we just take…

…yet another 0.1% increase in the unemployment rate tomorrow. In any event, here’s the update graph of initial and continuing claims (right scale) vs. the unemployment rate (left scale): This…

…the increase in the unemployment rate since the second half of 2022. Unemployment will likely rise if hiring remains soft, even with few layoffs. Reducing hiring is a front-line response…

…the continuing unemployment caused by the hurricanes, as we have seen from the analysis of continuing claims above. In short, prepare for a negative surprise as to the unemployment rate…

…few months, the trend in claims has been between 5%-10% higher. Since one year ago the unemployment rate was 3.7%, this suggests the unemployment rate should trend towards 3.9%-4.1% in…

…the unemployment rate would go up: from 96% of the labor force employed to 100/105 of the labor force employed, meaning a 4.8% unemployment rate.  Conversely, if the labor force…

…for the next several months. The Bonddad Blog “Alternate sources of employment data point to job losses, steady to higher unemployment rate in September,” Angry Bear by New Deal democrat…

…felt the pressure more than others. The Black unemployment rate has risen from 6.2% as of January, when Trump resumed office, to 7.5% the past two months. The white unemployment…

…and unemployment. At 2 minutes into the interview, Greta Brawner presents Ezra Klein’s take from this article: “And we’re just going to leave them without incomes and without job opportunities…

…was due to adjustments in December and January data. RJS, MarketWatch 666, Employers Add 467,000 Jobs in January, Unemployment Rate Rises to 4.0% The Employment Situation Summary for January from the Bureau…