…misforecast foreign inflation not realizing that it was also declining? Odd for someone who was attacking the forecasting abilities of the CEA back in 1982 that even many years after…

…forecasting Eurozone entry to be around 2009 – 2012 for the biggest accession economies (Czech Rep., Hungary and Poland) and some time later for the others. Entry into the EU…

…should also go far in explaining my mangled syntax and innovative grammar). Economic bloggers can never really complain about a lack of subject matter – every working day will yield…

…Buffett began his piece with a disclaimer, acknowledging that he is not an economist and does not have a good record of macroeconomic forecasting. But what about the substance of…

…showing signs of sustained recovery… Particularly encouraging are the signs of revival in capital expenditure by businesses… Although economic forecasting is far from an exact science, private-sector forecasters broadly agree…

…certainly a problem. It is true that there aren’t many macroeconomic data and none of them is the product of a controlled experiment. But I think that stressing that problem…

…Guide To The 2013 Social Security Trustees Report” at e21 Economic Policies for the 21st Century http://www.economics21.org/commentary/guide-2013-social-security-trustees-report . Blahous tells us “Social Security faces a large and increasingly immediate financing…

Brad DeLong reviews Alan Greenspan’s new book: Alan Greenspan: The Map and the Territory: Risk, Human Nature, and the Future of Forecasting: The true size of the American subprime problem…

…the next recession, but a complete inversion would require the Fed to raise its overnight interest rate. The Fed is forecasting a rise in the Fed rate in 2016. So…

…and I did a presidential election forecasting model for The Washington Post. The model had only three factors: The change in gross domestic product in the first two quarters of…