Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

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A Dramatic Reading of My Novel

Most of time when I write something, I sign it. A piece in the first Great American Baseball Stat Book. The first three editions of a book called Interest Rate…

Yglesias Wants to Soak the Rich

…income over $10 million? What dire consequences would flow from this? Perhaps a certain outflow of top-flight baseball talent to Japan. But I don’t see this leading to any kind…

Nate Silver invades our turf

Robert Waldmann Having demonstrated an ability to find amazing patterns in numbers from baseball and polls, Nate Silver turns his attention to the stock market. He finds mean reversion in…

Ignorant Decision Makers

…studying French. His second most important qualification seems to be having played baseball in college. The post goes on: Even dropping out of law school can help get you somewhere….

Wang and Silver on electoral projections

…an analytic formula. Silver’s approach is to carry out thousands of simulations, then tally the simulations. That method reflects the fantasy baseball tradition, in which individual outcomes are often of…

…increases in revenue that I do not believe are realistic. The City is expecting that the Sports and Exhibition Authority which owns the new football and baseball stadiums as well…

…and baseball. It will not matter who the nominee is. We are already seeing the smear machine cranking up against both Dean and Clark as I think that they are…