September 2023 jobs report: a look at leading indicators
…at some of the leading indicators I was tracking last week for the employment report, and some leading indicators for the economy within that report itself. In the JOLTS report…
…at some of the leading indicators I was tracking last week for the employment report, and some leading indicators for the economy within that report itself. In the JOLTS report…
…on the softness we saw in the quit rate in yesterday’s JOLTS report, I am looking for continued deceleration in wage gains to 4.2% or even 4.1% YoY, although a…
…as we know from the monthly voluntary “Quits” data in the JOLTS survey: OK, but if the labor market is so tight, why haven’t wages grown even more? To answer…
…a slowdown and New Deal democrat talks about it on Angry Bear and the Bonddad blog. NDd also talks about employment in his December Jolts report here at Angry Bear….
…JOLTS data, the ECI, or weekly unemployment claims, which have shown a modest uptick. And, even low-wage sectors like nursing homes and childcare centers are adding jobs at a healthy…
…on employment: the JOLTS report for January on Wednesday, weekly jobless claims on Thursday, and of course the February jobs report on Friday. In the meantime, since this is a…
…am expecting the unemployment rate to remain at 3.7% or decline to 3.6%. An increase above 3.8% is almost certainly not going to happen. Additionally, based on yesterday’s JOLTS report,…
…my discussion of the JOLTS report, I am looking for stabilization or no more than a slight deceleration in average hourly earnings gains. And I will be most interested to…
…week, so posting is going to be sporadic and delayed. I’ll get to this morning’s JOLTS report later today or tomorrow morning. With that out of the way, let’s take…
– by New Deal democrat This month we started the month with not just the usual two important reports on the leading sectors of manufacturing and construction, but the JOLTS…