…does it behave in the real world? Well, let’s apply this model to five previous recessions and to the next recession not yet seen. Leading up to the Recession of…

…sold at major retailers today, such as legendary Half of Fame MLB pitcher Nolan Ryan’s private label beef that is carried exclusively at Kroger stores, or at his private label…

…more interesting is the peaks of PWU in relation to the official recession dates. Recession 11/48 to 10/49 but the PWU peaks 1/1950 3 month delay Recession 7/53 to 5/54,…

…of the recession that began in March 2001 and the beginning of an expansion. The recession lasted 8 months, which is slightly less than average for recessions since World War…

…it did not trigger the recession by shrinking the real money supply in the year leading up to the recession’s start, unlike every other recession since 1959, the first year…

…exception of the 1981 “double dip” and the 1970 recession, these have always peaked at least one year before the next recession. Both housing permits for single family structures and…

…market is going through a nasty 10 percent correction over fears of another recession (and European debt default). That’s definitely not a recession reading. Yes, you read that right. Kudlow…

…offset them. It is not just a predictable recession; it is a recession made by policymakers without good cause and therefore an entirely avoidable recession” Is Simon Wren-Lewis implying that…

…slightly above 8.75%. If this is a recovery, then my December 2009 prediction that this will turn out to be a “cursive-zed” recession may turn out to be optimism. *Also,…

…at the flow chart for 1st quarter 2008. The recession actually started in 4th quarter 2007 (December). Between the first graph and the second graph here, the recession formed and…