Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

About social security

For years, Dale Coberly posted on AB about Social Security, separating myth from reality and reminding readers of the reality. Dale stopped posting here a while ago, so I’ll take up where he left off. I still see folks claiming that Congress “stole” Social Security, that SS is a Ponzi scheme and that SS is […]

US has Largely Turned into a Banana Republic in Political and Economic terms

“Record low labor share: corporate profits are at their most extreme levels ever compared with nonsupervisory payrolls,”  – by New Deal democrat An I’ve read a few takes in the past week or so about the declining “labor share” of GDP. To cut to the chase, here’s a link to that exact graph:  In case you are […]

Grifting for Gaza

If you want to understand Donald Trump, follow the money. That includes foreign policy. Kidnap the president of Venezuela for the oil. Take over Greenland for the minerals. And Gaza? Certainly not for the Palestinians or Israel. “Countries on Donald Trump’s “Board of Peace” for Gaza will be asked to contribute $1 billion in order […]

A powerful new tailwind behind the economy: the “real” price of gas

 – by New Deal democrat There’s no new data of note today or tomorrow, so in the meantime (aside from observing Martin Luther King’s birthday) let me take a look at a very important, if small piece of economic data: the “real” price of gas. Gas price shocks have been important precipitants of a number of […]

More on Minneapolis

“The Minneapolis Crucible” – Paul Krugman January 15, 2026 Will we forge democracy anew? When Trump won the 2024 election, I feared rightly) our democracy would soon be in great peril. Between gerrymandering, a corrupt Supreme Court, a compliant Republican Party, and a tsunami of political donations from the tech broligarchy, I thought American democracy […]

New Deal democrats Weekly Indicators for January 12 – 16

– by New Deal democrat My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha. With the yield curve close to completely normal and mortgage rates at or near 3 year lows, and the housing market reacting to those, the longer range picture is improving. But what is going to drive (in more ways than one) the immediate […]

Action/reaction

In an effort to extort Greenland from Denmark, Trump has ordered a 10% tariff on goods from EU nations that have opposed the US expropriation effort beginning in February. He has threatened to raise that to 25% if they don’t capitulate. A couple of points: • The tariffs are mostly a nothingburger for EU economies: […]

Views of Supreme Court Remain Near Historic Lows

Not too surprised by this finding. It can be said, SCOTUS has not been overly supportive of US citizens. In fact, their decisions have denigrated regular citizens greatly. Maybe my view point is tilted in a less than favorable viewpoint? One case comes to mind with the state providing legal support in a trial. In […]