Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Declining Housing Construction

Housing construction declines further into recessionary territory  – by New Deal democrat As promised, economic data resumed this morning, and with it my extended posts. First, the usual point that housing is a very important and leading sector of the economy, typically turning down more than a year before a recession begins. And with higher […]

Making America Infected Again

Incidence of bird flu in humans, though still low, is rising. “Regular” seasonal flu is now being classified as the worst in 15 years with more US hospitalizations for flu than for COVID. So far this year 68 kids have died of seasonal flu, and the US is on track to exceed last year’s children’s […]

They’re coming for Social Security

“Before President Donald Trump started mass layoffs of federal workers, he demonized them, arguing, despite evidence to the contrary, that most never went into the office. “As he moved to cut foreign aid, he and Elon Musk alleged widespread waste and abuse, although they offered little evidence to back up their claims and may simply […]

Wages Have Not Caught Up with Previous Inflation

Some thoughts. If inflation is increasing at a lower rate than previously, the higher rate for previous years have set a higher level. There by, if salary increase is based upon the new lower inflation rate it will not equal or surpass the cost level already incurred. Indeed, unless costs stagnant or decrease, salary increases […]

Economic Data

Data drought continues  – by New Deal democrat There is no new significant economic data today, and I am on the road. Meaningful reporting should resume tomorrow with housing permits, starts, and construction. In the meantime, here is a look at a high frequency series I keep track of: Redbook retail sales, for the past […]

Do Democrats and progressives need a marriage counselor or a divorce lawyer?

Many moderate and liberal Democrats believe the party should sideline progressive advocacy groups.  The groups sometimes make extreme and unpopular demands that damage the Democrats’ brand and prevent needed compromise.  It appears to me that some critics would be happy kicking the groups to the curb.  I largely agree with the diagnosis (see here, for […]

Industrial Policy

Fairly new article on international manufacturing. I broke it down, added information plus another chart, and did some editing. It really was a good article on manufacturing. I just made it better based on my fifty years in supply chain and throughput. Industrial Policy is Back. Is That a Good Thing? What Are the Issues? […]