Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

TPP and a bit of history

From Thomas Dewar, Public Citizen News release: Quote: “… Also fueling congressional opposition to Fast Track is the abysmal outcome of the Obama administration’s only major trade pact to date, the U.S.-Korea FTA, which is the template for the TPP.  In contrast to Obama’s promises that the Korea deal would boost exports, in the agreement’s […]

IRS will issue summonses for offshore bank account info

by Linda Beale IRS will issue summonses for offshore bank account info The IRS got court orders permitting it to see information about taxpayers with undisclosed offshore bank accounts from US banks.  In re the Tax Liabilities of John Does (SDNY No. 1:13-mc-00377 Nov. 12, 2013). According to BNA Daily Tax RealTime (Nov. 12, 2013 […]

Equation for center of business cycle… another economic mystery??

I was up late last night tinkering in the “equation workshop” to calculate the center of the business cycle (potential GDP). The equation is opening up my eyes to some new insights. The center of the business cycle is an important concept. It is the core foundation of the real GDP business cycle. Ultimately the […]

Columbia U. Conference Shows Incentives Pervasive but Controls Work

Columbia U. Conference Shows Incentives Pervasive but Controls Work  Day one of the Columbia International Investment Conference in New York has concluded, and the takeaways are very clear. The topic is investment incentives, prompted by Louise Story’s “United States of Subsides” series last December. Story moderated panel 1, which covered the pervasiveness of subsidies. How […]

Clinton Chait and 11 Dimensional Chess

Jon Chait is not impressed by Bill clinton. Bill Clinton Wants You to Keep Your Plan, Won’t Say How Bad Secretary of Explaining Stuff! organizing skittish red-state senators is one thing; organizing Bill Clinton is another. The former president now says that the government should change Obamacare to allow everybody in the individual market who […]

Potential GDP & Real GDP are “in phase”… another economic mystery revealed

Many economists say we still have a big output gap and that we will eventually return to the potential GDP trend from before the crisis. It is not a wise view. Let me reveal a mystery to explain. The following graph shows annual % growth for real GDP and potential GDP (center of business cycle). […]

Because Piling On Is Sometimes Necessary

I was going to leave Richard Cohen alone: Gawker, LG&M, Dr. Black, etc. etc. all covered him.  There’s nothing to say that Katherine Weymouth didn’t already, save possibly that I’m thinking of burning all my non-existent copies of Mariah Carey’s “Fantasy” in effigy. But I can’t resist coming out of what appears to be a […]