Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Shiller on Fama: “maybe he has a cognitive dissonance”

Here, emphasis mine: It must affect your thinking somehow that they really believe in markets. I think that maybe he has a cognitive dissonance. His research shows that markets are not efficient. So what do you do if you are living in the University of Chicago? It’s like being a Catholic priest and then discovering […]

Potential insights

In a post titled Potential Misunderstandings, Paul Krugman makes a really good point about potential GDP… many people do not understand what it is. He is absolutely right to say that it is a supply-side concept. Yet, in order to know where your potential output is, one must consider demand potential. I use effective demand […]

FLYING SAUCERS, THE YOUNG, and SOCIAL SECURITY

by Dale Coberly FLYING SAUCERS, THE YOUNG, and SOCIAL SECURITY What if the Social Security Trust Fund WAS Worthless IOU’s George Bush liked to tell us “the young” were more likely to believe in flying saucers than they were to believe they would ever see any benefits from Social Security. First, let me assure you […]

Equality and Growth Is Breaking Out All Over!

Sadly, not in the real world. But in the econoblogosphere. Much of that is arguably thanks to the newly launched Washington Center for Equitable Growth. Traveling and family time, so I can’t do a big writeup, so just a few somewhat randomly chosen links: Brad Plumer: Is inequality bad for economic growth? Jared Bernstein: The Impact of Inequality […]

Capital controls emerging in Argentina

I have a student in Argentina that sent me a message today. He says that it has become extremely difficult to take money out of the banks, even $100 USD. It is considered capital flight with legal difficulties. He says that $2 billion USD are leaving Argentina daily. The Argentine peso has been falling but […]

Food Stamps Obesity and Dependency

Hilary W. Hoynes, Diane Whitmore Schanzenbach, Douglas Almond made a genuinely important contribution to the debate on the effects of social welfare programs in this NBER working paper/revised manuscript “Long Run Impacts of Childhood Access to the Safety Net” They took advantage of a natural experiment to estimate the long run effects of access to […]