For the non-cognoscenti: “IOR” is interest on reserves. Banks keep money in their accounts at the Fed. In October, 2008 the Fed started paying .25% interest on those accounts. The Fed’s also engaged in “quantitative easing,” a.k.a. open-market purchases on steroids, creating new money and using it to buy $1.6 trillion dollars worth of bonds […]
Whether it’s Market Monetarist NGDP targeting (a.k.a. Damn The Inflation Rate; We Need Growth!) or Menzie’s recommendation of Conditional Inflation Targeting with a notably higher target, everything tells us that somewhat higher inflation is the current path to greater and more widespread long-term prosperity. Raising the expected inflation rate will lower real interest rates and […]
Krugman started it, in response to Lucas. Everyone piles on. Plutocracy Files has the list of links. (Plus don’t miss Nick Rowe’s, which includes a long comment thread.) Here’s what wows me: all these world-classical economists are accusing each other of contradicting “textbook economics,” and circling through extraordinary contortions in their efforts to reconcile that school […]
Based on the notions of economic efficiency that I laid out here, if I could do whatever I wanted I would make the following changes over a ten-year period. (Some faster, some slower, some phased in, some implemented instantly on a given date.) The appropriate amounts in each case require a better calculator than I […]
Casey Mulligan is curious: what could have caused the big uptick in the uptake on unemployment insurance in recent years? It’s a mystery. Or, maybe not: Sorry, the JOLTS data only goes back to 2001. Which directly addresses Mulligan’s basic assertion: People are lazy. They don’t like to work. Well yeah. (People especially don’t like […]
Randall Wray made a fascinating observation a while back: Since 1776 there have been six periods of substantial budget surpluses and significant reduction of the debt. … The United States has also experienced six periods of depression. The depressions began in 1819, 1837, 1857, 1873, 1893, and 1929. And I confirmed it (graphs): Every depression in U.S. history was […]
There’s such fun in disastering. When you’ve won the mastering.Of the u-ni-verse! Hat tip to RJ Sigmund: Lyrics by Marcy Shaffer (Dan here … lyrics under the fold) It’s beginning to look a lot more riskless.At least for guys like me.It’s neat being this elite.The government makes it sweet.Complete with robber baron guarantee! It’s beginning […]
This Credit Suisse graph posted by Cardiff Garcia on December 5 has been getting some serious attention in wonkier sections of the econoblogosphere: And Angry Bear‘s own Rebecca Wilder gave us this on December 21: 2007-2011 in charts: moving down in quality 2007… …Vs. 2011 Brad DeLong discussed this on December 21, riffing off David […]
Real Reasons Bankers Don’t Like Basel’s Rules: Clive Crook – Bloomberg. Why bankers’ whining about higher equity requirements is just that: A much-cited paper by Stanford’s Anat Admati and colleagues — “Fallacies, Irrelevant Facts, and Myths in the Discussion of Capital Regulation: Why Bank Equity Is Not Expensive” — should have ended this debate once […]
I’ve gone on about this elsewhere, but thought I should bring it up front and center here. While everyone hyperventilates about government debt, they don’t seem to be aware of the massively greater load of private debt, and its spectacular runup compared to government debt: This from Steve Keen’s latest. (It’s not very long. There […]