Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

The 2016 election economy: the "Bread and Peace" model final forecast

by New Deal democrat The 2016 election economy: the “Bread and Peace” model final forecast One of the election forecasts I have referred to frequently for the last year is the “Bread and Peace” model by Professor Douglas Hibbs.  Hibbs himself has not published any forecasts for this election, but the result forecast by his […]

The Top 10 Performing Immigrant Groups in the US – Lessons Learned

by Mike Kimel The Top 10 Performing Immigrant Groups in the US – Lessons Learned First, I’d like to apologize. An earlier version of this post was taken down because I sent it with the wrong table. This version has the correct table, and I added a bit of verbage as well. In my last […]

Economic Outcomes of Immigrants v. Their Stay at Home Counterparts: What the Data Shows

by Mike Kimel Economic Outcomes of Immigrants v. Their Stay at Home Counterparts: What the Data Shows In this post, I will test whether people from countries with relatively poor economies also tend to do poorly when they relocate to the United States. As an example, GDP per capita for Haiti is much lower than […]