Two Elections in Two different States went Overwhelming Democratic
Have to ask the question as to whether these early showings are predictors of what is to come in 2024 election. I do not recall this type of election wins in 2016. In any case, if Dems win big, it will be another stolen election!
Last night, people voted in elections in two different states. “Those results tell us way more about the state of our democracy and the political strength of the pro-democracy forces in this country than all of today’s other political headlines put together,” says @chrislhayes. Click on the link for verbal report.
https://twitter.com/i/status/1704649626920378502
NH House Dems win another special election, creep closer to 50-50 split, yahoo.com, Kevin Landrigan, The New Hampshire Union Leader, Manchester
Sep. 19—Nottingham Democrat Hal Rafter’s victory Tuesday night in a special election means the New Hampshire House is one vote away from being evenly divided when the 2024 session opens in January.
Rafter’s win over Republican Northwood Selectman James Guzofski gave Democrats their fourth straight pickup in special House elections this year.
Unofficial totals showed Rafter winning 55.9% of the vote in both towns, beating Guzofski 641-485 in Northwood and 930-755 in Nottingham.
Once Rafter is sworn in, House Republicans will have the smallest possible majority over Democrats, 198-197.
If, as expected, Democrats make another pickup in the deep blue Nashua Ward 4 this November, the House would be a flat-footed tie.
There are two independents in the House — one a former Democrat, the other a former Republican.
Announcements of two resignations this week mean the House has three vacancies to be filled.
In another election story.
Lindsay Powell wins Allegheny County special election, Democrats keep Pa. House, Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, Hallie Lauer.
Lindsay Powell, a Pittsburgh nonprofit leader, handily won the special election Tuesday to fill a vacant Allegheny County seat in the state House and restore Democrats’ one-seat majority in the chamber.
Ms. Powell’s victory was expected in the heavily Democratic district, and when the Associated Press called the race at about 8:15 p.m., she had received 82% of the vote. Her opponent, Republican nominee Erin Connolly Autenreith, had about 17%. That margin was likely to narrow: The vote tallies released shortly after polls closed at 8 p.m. were entirely made up of mail and absentee ballots, which tend to skew heavily Democratic.
“It is the honor of my lifetime to be your Representative-Elect for House District 21,” Ms. Powell said on her Facebook page Tuesday night. “I want to thank everyone who helped me get here — I look forward to serving you in Harrisburg.”
Amid the low voter turnout typical of down-ballot special elections, Ms. Powell’s win was effectively a foregone conclusion. Democrats easily swept three special elections for state House seats in Allegheny County earlier this year. The 21st District is made up largely of registered Democrats: Former state Rep. Innamorato won reelection last year with about 63% of the vote.
The inevitable backlash to radical and radically imposed agendas. UnAmerican agendas
Not unsurprising, it’s been a weighted value in my spread-sheet for a long time …
Flipped seat sets the stage for even split in N.H. House
Boston Globe – Sep 20
Republicans will lose ‘handily’ if Trump is the nominee, Governor Sununu says
Boston Globe – Sep 22
Republicans will lose ‘handily’ if Trump is the nominee, New Hampshire Governor Sununu says
Since not much is going on in this thread, might as well bring this up, from almost a month ago.
Is Trump Disqualified? Republicans in NH Prepare to Fight Long-Shot Legal Theory.
NY Times – Aug 30
In New Hampshire, Republicans are feuding over whether the 14th Amendment bars Donald J. Trump from running for president. Other states are watching closely.
Why New Hampshire is the most likely state where Trump could lose a primary
CNN – Sep 24
Why New Hampshire is the most likely state where Trump could lose a primary
CNN – Sep 24
Former President Donald Trump is a heavy favorite to win the 2024 Republican nomination. He’s getting over 60% in a number of national surveys of the GOP primary and holds the advantage in every early state that’s been polled.
Yet, recent data and history suggest that Trump may be in more trouble than is apparent at first glance in the first-in-the-nation primary state of New Hampshire. Granite State Republicans, for whom Trump is not their first choice, seem to be searching for an alternative and may not settle on one until late in the campaign. …
… Unlike his national standing, Trump is well under 50% here. He doesn’t even clear 50% when you take into account voters’ second choices.
The 39% Trump registered in the poll among voters’ first choices is less than the 46% he received in Fox Business polls released this past week in the early-voting states of Iowa and South Carolina.
It’s pretty clear that Trump can be beaten in New Hampshire, if the roughly 60% who aren’t with him now rally behind one candidate. …
Since Trump has way more support than any of the other GOP wannabees in NH, and it is unlikely that support for ‘someone else’ in the GOP will materialize, it is most likely that if he is on the ballot on Primary Day he win the slot on the Nov 2024 presidential ballot Up Theah.
That does not mean he will bet Joe Biden in NH. Any more than he did in 2020.