Election analysis from Heather Cox Richardson
Richardson has a post-election analysis up at her substack blog. Some money grafs:
“In Virginia, Governor Glenn Youngkin campaigned hard to flip the state senate to the Republicans, telling voters that if his party had control of the whole government he would push through a measure banning abortion after 15 weeks. This has been a ploy advanced by Republicans to suggest they are moderating their stance on abortion, and Youngkin appeared to be trying out the argument as a basis for a run for the presidency.
“But voters, who are still angry at the overturning of Roe v. Wade, which protected abortion rights until about 24 weeks, after fetal abnormalities are evident, rejected the suggestion they should settle for a smaller piece of what they feel has been taken from them by extremists on the Supreme Court.
“Today, Youngkin indicated he will not run for president in 2024.”
Click the link to read the rest.
Letters from an American
“In Virginia, Governor Glenn Youngkin campaigned hard to flip the state senate to the Republicans, telling voters that if his party had control of the whole government he would push through a measure banning abortion after 15 weeks. This has been a ploy advanced by Republicans to suggest they are moderating their stance on abortion, and Youngkin appeared to be trying out the argument as a basis for a run for the presidency.
“But voters, who are still angry at the overturning of Roe v. Wade, which protected abortion rights until about 24 weeks, after fetal abnormalities are evident, rejected the suggestion they should settle for a smaller piece of what they feel has been taken from them by extremists on the Supreme Court.
“Today, Youngkin indicated he will not run for president in 2024.”
Click the link to read the rest.
Letters from an American
“In Virginia, Governor Glenn Youngkin campaigned hard to flip the state senate to the Republicans, telling voters that if his party had control of the whole government he would push through a measure banning abortion after 15 weeks. This has been a ploy advanced by Republicans to suggest they are moderating their stance on abortion…”
This passage makes no sense; this is toughening not moderating the stance on abortion.
@ltr,
Looks like you haven’t been following the abortion debate in the United States.
The right-wing stance on abortion is a total ban. “Moderation,” to the GOP, is agreeing to a 6-week limit (Florida) or a 15 week period (other states and a proposed national abortion law).
To the extent that anything the GOP proposes makes “sense,” that’s the sense of it. Hope that helps.
“In Virginia, Governor Glenn Youngkin campaigned hard to flip the state senate to the Republicans, telling voters that if his party had control of the whole government he would push through a measure banning abortion after 15 weeks….”
This is a radical stance, not a moderate stance, for most women, no matter what any Republican might imagine. I know precisely what this Republican position means as does any woman, and most women are and will be opposed.
@ltr,
The 15-week ban is not toughening a total ban or a 6-week ban. Over 90% of abortions take place in the first 15 weeks. It is a moderating stand in that sense.
You and I may not agree that it is sufficiently moderate (I certainly don’t), but that doesn’t mean that the passage doesn’t make sense.
“The 15-week ban is not toughening a total ban or a 6-week ban. Over 90% of abortions take place in the first 15 weeks. It is a moderating stand in that sense.”
Yes, you are right. I should have viewed the matter from a balanced perspective.
Thank you for the correction and explanation.
President Biden as of today has the worst poll numbers of the presidency, but we should not worry that will make a meaningful difference next November if Republicans continue to work to end abortion rights. Voters have repeatedly shown they will not support an end to abortion rights.
As to why the Biden poll numbers are so bad, the NYTimes arguments are not convincing.
@ltr,
Biden’s poll numbers today are meaningless.
Joel:
A lot of hype meant to impress the unknowing and the impressionable.
Biden’s poll numbers today are meaningless.
A lot of hype meant to impress the unknowing and the impressionable.
[ Here, I think so also but worry. ]
@ltr,
Save your worries for September 2024. Lots of water under the bridge before then.
Vaguely related?
Biden shouldn’t be as unpopular as Trump — but he is
Washington Post – June 20
(I’m still a Biden supporter and I will remain so through his 2nd term. I fully expect American voters to come to their senses in sufficient numbers by next November.)
THUGS AND VERMIN: POLITICAL SYCOPHANTS DOWNPLAY TRUMP’S UNHINGED SPEECH ECHOING NAZI PROPAGANDA
Milwaukee Independent – Heather Cox Richardson – Nov 16