Prosecuting Trump — a caveat,

Infidel753, “Prosecuting Trump — a caveat,” Infidel753 Blog

It’s starting to look as if Trump may be indicted fairly soon, an event much of the left has been impatient to see for some time (what I myself most wanted was to simply never hear another word about him, but it’s clear that the reality we live in is not going to grant that wish for the foreseeable future).  The case coming to a head is the Stormy Daniels hush payment, but indictments on other matters will likely follow eventually.

There may, however, be a downside.  Don’t get me wrong — come what may, Trump must be held accountable for his crimes, most especially for his role in inciting the January 6 attack on the Capitol.  Failure to do so would discredit American justice, showing that the wealthy and powerful are exempt from the laws that apply to everyone else.  The problem is the possible effect on the 2024 election.

At the moment, the only two serious contenders for the Republican presidential nomination are Trump and DeSantis.  That could change, of course; the 2024 primaries are a year away and some other major candidate could emerge.  But so far there’s no sign of that.

Assuming Trump remains a viable contender, Republican hopes of winning the presidency seem doomed.  If Trump is the nominee, he’ll almost certainly lose.  2020 showed that he was sufficiently hated by a large enough part of the electorate to inspire record-breaking turnout to get rid of him.  There’s no reason to think that that’s changed.  If he’s the nominee in 2024, the general election result will resemble 2020.  If DeSantis (or anyone else) gets the nomination, Trump is likely to turn against him out of spite and resentment, or at least to ostentatiously withhold support.  A substantial part of the Republican base are still die-hard Trump loyalists.  If he persuades even a significant fraction of those to refrain from voting for DeSantis, then DeSantis can’t win.

But if Trump is out of the picture because he’s in prison by then, it will be far easier for Republicans to unify around DeSantis, who might win over Trump’s loyalists by promising a presidential pardon for Trump (presidential pardons don’t apply to state convictions, only to federal ones, but the average Trumpanzee may well not be aware of that).  And DeSantis has shown that he has no respect for our most fundamental rights.  No blogger, journalist, publisher, artist, or anyone else who depends on freedom of expression being protected, can afford the risk of this man acquiring the vast powers of the presidency.  A president Youngkin or Haley or even Pence would be bad, but not really outside the norms of modern American politics.  DeSantis is too dangerous.

However, Trump himself may be offering a resolution to the dilemma.  He’s already preparing an all-out effort to destroy DeSantis by digging up dirt on him and publicizing it, and researching the most effective messaging to attack him.  Rather than wait for the primaries, he wants to crush his most prominent rival in advance.  Of course, that will take some time.

Trump must, as I said, be held accountable for his actions.  But I won’t be unhappy at all if some further delay gives him time to neutralize this rising threat.

Update (Saturday AM):  Trump is now predicting his own imminent arrest and calling for protests.