The Cyclically Adjusted Budget Balance: Shrinking Rapidly
Since I put a ‘liberal’ name in a previous post, I will also put up a ‘conservative’ name on budget balances: Menzie Chin at Econbrowser points to other CBO numbers…
The Cyclically Adjusted Budget Balance: Shrinking Rapidly
The CBO has just released estimates of the cyclically adjusted budget balance (or, specifically, the budget balance without automatic stabilizers). The cyclically adjusted budget balance is a better measure of the fiscal stance. The evolution of this series is interesting.
Not sure why you label Menzie Chinn as conservative.
And if this continues it will trigger a recession at some point. Notice in the chart, recessions following the uptrends.
I like the way you conduct your posts. Keep it up!
rak offshore