Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

UnReal Business Cycle

Via Dr. Black, those RBC models may be missing a variable or two: In April, the rate in the United States rose to 8.9 percent. When the European figures are compiled, it seems likely that the American rate will be higher for the first time since Eurostat began compiling the numbers in 1993…. First, it […]

NW Plan: Combined OAS and DI Triggers

(Update: input numbers by Coberly the Office of the Actuary of SSA; calculations and output numbers by Coberly) Click to enlarge. This is what the result of implementing DI and OAS Triggers immediately would look like. 100% of scheduled benefits, no increase in retirement age, ending Trust Fund ratio of 123. This should be considered […]

Deficit from 12.9 to 3 per cent?

rdan Bloomberg reports on Timothy Geithner committed to cutting the budget deficit as concern about deteriorating U.S. creditworthiness deepened, and ascribed a sell-off in Treasuries to prospects for an economic recovery. “It’s very important that this Congress and this president put in place policies that will bring those deficits down to a sustainable level over […]

It Rarely Happens But What Goes Around Can, Potentially, Come Around

by cactus It Rarely Happens But What Goes Around Can, Potentially, Come Around Dear Mr. Obama, Incriminating information about a certain individual has come to my attention. In the 1980s, this individual praised and defended a small cabal that worked its way into the highest levels of government and then sold modern American military equipment […]

Income age 65 and over

rdan Executive summary of EBRI stats on: Income of the Elderly Population Age 65 and Over, 2005 • Latest data: This article reviews the latest available data on the older population’s income (age 65 and older), how it has changed over time, and the elderly’s reliance on these sources. • Social Security still dominant: In […]

NW Plan for a Real Social Security Fix Ver 2.0: 2009 Trigger

by Bruce Webb, data by Coberly Coberly has now produced new spreadsheets updated in light of the new numbers of the 2009 Report. Copies of past and current spreadsheets are available at our Google Group RealSocialSecurityFix‘s Northwest Plan page. (It should be viewable by anyone). The new Trigger ones linked below.(UPDATE: Hot off the press, […]

Tax Competition: why it is not a good thing

Cross posted by Linda Beale, ataxingmatter Linda Beale has a take on tax competition and real costs hidden by gaming the system. Who does pay for the US Naval protection of commerce in the world? Tax Competition: why it is not a good thingThe Tax Foundation is one of those purported think tanks that preaches […]

A representative basket of currencies

rdan Mark Thoma at Economist’s View offers a look at Jeff Sachs (in Scientific American) notions of the correctness of a ‘global’ basket of currencies to be used as a substitute for the US dollar. China has now proposed that … nations peg their currencies to a representative basket of others rather than to the […]