Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

The bond market sends an unprecedented message

 – by New Deal democrat Something not just unusual, but unprecedented has happened in the bond market this year. Normally, when an inverted yield curve (where earlier maturing bonds yield more than later maturing ones) regularizes, or un-inverts (where yields get higher the later the maturing), it is because the Fed has lowered rates sufficiently […]

Where we are

So Trump announced yuuge “permanent” tariffs and the stock market indices all tanked. Then Trump backpedaled on all the big tariffs except on China. Why the Trump flip-flop? Here’s Josh Marshall over at TPM: “Every sign is that it was not about the equities markets but rather the bond market, where the demand for U.S. […]