Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Heavy Weight trucks have a record of turning down by -10% or more before a recession

Truck sales sound a warning  – by New Deal democrat Twenty years ago Prof. Edward Leamer made a big splash with a speech to the Fed in which he proclaimed that “Housing IS the Business Cycle,” highlighting how downturns in the housing sector tended to lead recessions by an average of 7 quarters. For today’s […]