Lifted from comments to Calculated Risks aside on cash for clunkers. Spencer says: I get so tired of seeing people evaluate the cash of clunkers and ignoring the impact on auto inventories. During the cash for clunkers auto and light truck inventories fell from 2.7 months of sales to1.6 months of sales — the norm […]
With the release of the Fed’s Open Market Committee Meeting minutes from 2008, it has been confirmed that the Fed was too concerned about inflation, and, to quote Marcus Nunes, “worse, the headline kind” leading into the 2008 crash. The Market Monatarists cite this as evidence that the Fed was responsible for turning a potentially […]
This piece in the New York Times caught my attention <a href=” http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/06/world/europe/us-seeks-to-reduce-ukraines-reliance-on-russia-for-natural-gas.html?nl=todaysheadlines&emc=edit_th_20140306″>US seeks to reduce Ukraine’s reliance on Russia for natural gas</a>. It is a puff piece, but points to current conversation. From my reading it seems we would be shipping LNG to Germany and Europe? There is only one facility able to do that […]
Two more contributors to the revenue/tax cut conversation are Angry Bear’s jazzbumpa and New Economic Perspective‘s L. Randall Wray: Another look at Spending and Revenues JazzBumpa | January 31, 2013 9:00 pm This is more or less relevant to Beverly’s post from earlier today. How many times have you heard Boehner, McConnell, Ryan or one of […]
Ezra Klein offers a view of academic, journalists, and bloggers: Why aren’t journalists better at taking advantage of academic expertise? … The relationship between academics and journalists should be a happy symbiosis. The two sides are perfectly designed, in strengths and weaknesses, to support each other. Yet journalists, such as Kristof, are often frustrated by […]
by Joseph Joyce High Road, Low Road Among the many thorny issues that would arise if Scotland were be become an independent nation is the question of its choice of a currency. The first minister of Scotland claims that an independent Scotland would continue to use the pound. But Mark Carney, the governor of the […]
A Tale of Two Cities published by the Demand Institute offers some insights into the distribution of housing wealth in the United States: It is all too easy when discussing the U.S. economic outlook to forget that it aggregates the economic prospects of thousands of different cities, towns, and villages across the nation. National statistics […]
As output increases, there is an effective demand limit which slows down the utilization of capital and labor. Utilization of capital typically slows down before labor. The circled areas show times in the US when capacity utilization (blue) declined as employment (red) was rising or holding steady. This pattern normally happens before a contraction in […]
Simple national income and product accounting tells us that the current US recover (I can barely manage to type that without scare quotes and I *hate* scare quotes) has been horrible for two reasons: low government purchases of goods and services (G) and low housing investment. Consumption, fixed non residential investment, and inventory investment have […]
The weather has been great in Phoenix for months, but even so, the housing market is slowing down. Nick Timiraos, Real Time Economics from the Wall Street Journal, has an article today that presents the Phoenix housing market as the canary in the coal mine. If the housing market in Phoenix cools down, then other […]