In my ongoing efforts to clarify national-accounting-speak (for myself and others), I’d like to take a stab at some language that is often used ambiguously: the notion of “public” debt. (See also Thinking About the Fed.) If you don’t think anyone is confused by that term, understand: in “public debt,” “public” means government. In “debt […]

I was poking around at the very interesting Divisia measures of money, and came up with the following chart. Update: Spreadsheet error in original graph. Result: this has little to impart. Never mind. Thanks to Mark Sadowski for pointing it out. Which has me, once again, asking monetarists the question in the title of this post. […]

This line by Matt McOsker, in a comment on one of my recent posts, now reigns as the best line of the year in my personal pantheon. QE’s only direct effect is on the financial sector. It only affects the real sector — where people work to produce, buy, and sell real goods, and produce […]

The intellectual equivalent of medieval bloodletting: “We’ll just drain out the bad blood!“ Cross-posted at Asymptosis.

Much ado is made of the Fed’s “credibility,” which is dog-whistle-speak for its ability, willingness, and decided inclination to jump all over any (expected or imagined) whiff of that horrifying threat — inflation! — especially the most terrifying bogeyman, “wage inflation.” You won’t, on the other hand, find “credibility” discussed when people speak of the […]

Allan Marks, in a comment on a Krugman post, reminds me of one of my favorite scenes in filmdom. Krugman’s complaining that he doesn’t understand the rules that his detractors are arguing by, and Marks suggests he watch this (55 seconds): Is anyone else wishing our esteemed President knew the rules for knife fights? Cross-posted […]

Or: “Dudley Makes Mock of the Monetarists.” In my post The Fed is not “Printing Money.” It’s Retiring Bonds and Issuing Reserves, I said: …when the Fed gives the banks reserves and retires bonds, it’s taking on market risk/reward, replacing it with absolutely nonvolatile, risk/reward-free assets (at least in nominal terms). It’s removing leverage and volatility from […]

I’d like to reply to one confusion and one set of pushbacks on yesterday’s post: Currency and Reserve Balances I buried one fact: banks can reduce total Fed reserve balances by withdrawing currency — physical cash — from their Fed reserve accounts. I only gestured toward this in a parenthetical and a link. It’s a trivial […]

Mark Dow had a great post the other day: There is zero correlation between the Fed printing and the money supply. Deal with it. He points out (emphasis mine): From 1981 to 2006 total credit assets held by US financial institutions grew by $32.3 trillion (744%). How much do you think bank reserves at the […]

This graph speaks volumes: Profits as a Percent of GDP: Financial Corporations vs. Nonfinancial Corporations We saw a big decline in real businesses’ profit share in the 40s, then a slower semi-steady decline through the 70s, as wages constituted a larger share of GDP. Financial corps doubled, expanding and increasing profits, but they remained small […]