New Deal democrat’s Weekly Indicators for December 29 2025 – January 2 2026
– by New Deal democrat
My “Weekly Indicators” post is up at Seeking Alpha.
As 2025 ended, all of the important trends seemed to intensify. The US$ is down 10% YoY by one measure, commodities are higher by the same or more, oil prices continued to fade, and the recent waning in the YoY growth of withholding tax payments – by at least one measure – intensified.
Simple explanation and not to technical: “The dollar fell over 9% in 2025, its worst annual performance since 2017. The declines reflect a volatile year for the U.S. economy, with investors likely facing another unpredictable 12 months.
In 2025, the U.S. unveiled the highest tariffs in decades. President Trump picked a fight with the Federal Reserve and threatened to fire Chairman Jerome Powell. And the U.S. had its longest government shutdown ever. And here’s a basic rule of thumb as well. Currency markets lack predictability. And it’s fair to say that under this second Trump administration, things have been very unpredictable. But you know, something, as bad as things were, it could have been worse.”
As usual, clicking over and reading will bring you up to the virtual moment as to the state of the economy, and reward me with a penny or two for my efforts collecting and collating it for you.
Weekly Indicators for December 22 – 26, 2025, Angry Bear by New Deal democrat