Trump’s Tariffs exceeded his power under IEEPA

Sauer suggested that the Supreme Court fast-track the government’s appeal, so that the court would announce by Sept. 10 whether it would hear the case; if so, the justices would hear oral arguments in early November.

The small businesses agreed that the court should decide now whether Trump can impose the tariffs, but they insist he cannot. If IEEPA were interpreted as broadly as the president suggests, they wrote, “it would constitute an unconstitutional delegation of congressional power far exceeding any delegation that has reached this Court since 1935.”

It is no exaggeration to say that the future of checks and balances hinges on what the Court does in the tariffs case.

If the Court says that Trump has overstepped, it will be the first substantive instance of the justices intervening to restrain him. But if the Court defers to Trump’s declaration of an emergency, it will be an enormously consequential decision, signaling the Court’s complete abdication of review authority. To say that the future of the constitutional system of checks and balances hinges on what the Court does is no exaggeration.

Just last week, the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit reviewed that decision and reached the same result, albeit on different grounds. The circuit court rejected Trump’s claim of tariff authority, with the seven-judge majority concluding that the IEEPA does not explicitly authorize the tariffs that Trump attempted to impose. In focusing on and rejecting Trump’s statutory IEEPA authority, the majority avoided ruling on the merits of Trump’s underlying emergency declarations.

Not so for the four dissenters (two Bush appointees and two Obama appointees). They acknowledge presidential determinations of an emergency are reviewable. They note the earlier decisions by the Supreme Court meant that the review was “very tightly limited.” The dissenters determined that they would not look behind Trump’s claim that the trade deficit had worsened to such a degree that it had become a national emergency. In short, they accepted at face value Trump’s claim that:

Large and persistent annual U.S. goods trade deficits have led to the hollowing out of our manufacturing base; inhibited our ability to scale advanced domestic manufacturing capacity; undermined critical supply chains; and rendered our defense-industrial base dependent on foreign adversaries.

And there you have it: At least four jurists are willing to say that simply by the ipse dixit of saying there was an emergency, the president can create one—even in a case where the so-called emergency has persisted for years.

If that is the case, then the president’s control of the national economy by emergency declaration becomes near plenary. Economic claims are especially strong given the fungible nature of economic production. For example, in defending Trump’s tariffs before the federal circuit, the government attorneys went so far as to say that the only limit on the president’s emergency economic authority was that he had to find that the emergency had a source that was in substantial part outside the United States.

Thus, in Trump’s view (a view apparently accepted by the four dissenters), the president could declare that the persistent budget deficit had grown so large as to become a national economic emergency. He could then make a factual finding a part of the cause of the deficit was the lack of taxes paid on imports, and on that basis raise taxes. Looked at through this prism, the claimed authority at issue in the tariff cases is truly extraordinary—and the damage that its validation could do is more extraordinary yet.