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Open thread October 25, 2022

Dan Crawford | October 25, 2022 5:52 am

Open thread, October 21, 2022, Angry Bear, Angry Bear Blog

Comments (13) | Digg Facebook Twitter |
13 Comments
  • Ron (RC) Weakley (A.K.A., Darryl For A While At EV) says:
    October 25, 2022 at 8:22 am

    [Lots of good light reading can be found at the link below.]

    https://www.mckinsey.com/industries/public-and-social-sector/our-insights/reinvesting-in-america

     

    Over the next ten years, nearly $2 trillion dollars in federal funding for infrastructure upgrades, clean energy, domestic semiconductor manufacturing, and science and technology innovation will flow into the US economy. Driven by three pieces of legislation—the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law (BIL), the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), and the Creating Helpful Incentives to Produce Semiconductors and Science Act (CHIPS)—this funding aims to lower carbon emissions substantially and boost US economic competitiveness, innovation, and productivity.

    To maximize the impact of this generational investment, leaders across the public and private sectors will need to work together to reinvest in America…

    [All those topics covered by several separate linked articles at the link above,]

     

  • Fred C. Dobbs says:
    October 26, 2022 at 7:35 am

    Climate Pledges Are Falling Short, and a Chaotic Future Looks More Like Reality

    NY Times – Oct 26

    Countries around the world are failing to live up to their commitments to fight climate change, pointing Earth toward a future marked by more intense flooding, wildfires, drought, heat waves and species extinction, according to a report issued Wednesday by the United Nations.

    Just 26 of 193 countries that agreed last year to step up their climate actions have followed through with more ambitious plans. The world’s top two polluters, China and the United States, have taken some action but have not pledged more this year, and climate negotiations between the two have been frozen for months.

    Without drastic reductions in greenhouse gas emissions, the report said, the planet is on track to warm by an average of 2.1 to 2.9 degrees Celsius, compared with preindustrial levels, by 2100.

    That’s far higher than the goal of 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) set by the landmark Paris agreement in 2015, and it crosses the threshold beyond which scientists say the likelihood of catastrophic climate impacts significantly increases. …

    • Fred C. Dobbs says:
      October 26, 2022 at 7:39 am

      Climate Plans Remain Insufficient: More Ambitious Action Needed Now

      UN Climate Change News, 26 October 2022 – A new report from UN Climate Change shows countries are bending the curve of global greenhouse gas emissions downward but underlines that these efforts remain insufficient to limit global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius by the end of the century.

      According to the report, the combined climate pledges of 193 Parties under the Paris Agreement could put the world on track for around 2.5 degrees Celsius of warming by the end of the century.

      Today’s report also shows current commitments will increase emissions by 10.6% by 2030, compared to 2010 levels. This is an improvement over last year’s assessment, which found countries were on a path to increase emissions by 13.7% by 2030, compared to 2010 levels.

      Last year’s analysis showed projected emissions would continue to increase beyond 2030. However, this year’s analysis shows that while emissions are no longer increasing after 2030, they are still not demonstrating the rapid downward trend science says is necessary this decade. …

       

    • Fred C. Dobbs says:
      October 26, 2022 at 7:44 am

      World ‘nowhere near’ hitting emissions targets, UN says

      Boston Globe – Oct 26

      (AP) — The United Nations says current pledges to cut greenhouse gas emissions put the planet on course to blow past the limit for global warming countries agreed to in the 2015 Paris climate accord.

      The U.N. climate office said Wednesday that its latest estimate based on 193 national emissions targets would see temperatures rise to 2.5 degrees Celsius (4.5 Fahrenheit) above pre-industrial averages by the end of the century.

      That’s a full degree higher than the ambitious goal set in the Paris pact to limit warming by 1.5 C (2.7 F) .

      The report found that emissions will also increase by 10.6% by 2030 from 2010 levels, a slight decrease from the 13.7% estimates last year. …

    • Ron (RC) Weakley (A.K.A., Darryl For A While At EV) says:
      October 27, 2022 at 8:07 am

      Fred,

      Yep.  Our grandchildren will be totally screwed by climate chaos.  It is too late to prevent that now. 

      On that link that I posted at the top of the thread, then “funding aims to lower carbon emissions substantially” is just typical liberal climate chaos pablum, but “boost US economic competitiveness, innovation, and productivity” is stuff that will be needed when the global system where our financialized retail import economy crashes down around their shoulders.  Back in the late 70’s we still had a chance to change this outcome, but we went entirely in the wrong direction.  I was dismissed as a lunatic at the time and not much has change there either.

      • Fred C. Dobbs says:
        October 27, 2022 at 9:13 am

        Agreed. But Mrs Fred & I won’t be having any grandchildren, so why worry?

        As for dealing with Global Climate Change, we really should make a maximum effort regardless, just out of anti-cynicism. What do we have to lose?

        • Ron (RC) Weakley (A.K.A., Darryl For A While At EV) says:
          October 27, 2022 at 1:02 pm

          Well, yes sir.  Despite our half century too late start or rather because of it, then we have nothing to lose and everything to gain by putting forth our very best effort to avert disaster. 

           

          We have barely begun the necessary R&D curve that would allow humanity to survive our own industrial age waste and realistically continue in a manner in which most of humanity would be willing to subscribe.  OTOH, if not that, then humanity’s consumption of resources can be whittled down to something that would fit into the remaining available space regardless of human preferences; i.e., succumb to the whimper rather than the bang.

          • Fred C. Dobbs says:
            October 27, 2022 at 4:06 pm

            It’s likely that the conventional wisdom is that ‘fixing the problem is too expensive an undertaking’, ‘we don’t really know how to fix the problem, so whatever we do will be pointless/wasteful’, ‘no one alive today is going to be around for that long anyway’, ‘this is what God intends’, or some combination of these notions.

            The dinosaurs would have done the same, so that’s that. We’re done.

            Unless you believe in miracles.

          • Fred C. Dobbs says:
            October 27, 2022 at 4:11 pm

            The Ministry for the Future – Wikipedia

            by Kim Stanley Robinson, describes how some fixes can be made that end up working over the course of this century. Worth a read.

          • Fred C. Dobbs says:
            October 27, 2022 at 4:15 pm

             In Francis Fukuyama‘s view the novel is “ludicrously unrealistic” and “Robinson posits the most optimistic possible political developments at every turn.”

          • Fred C. Dobbs says:
            October 27, 2022 at 4:17 pm

            “We’re Cooked”

      • Fred C. Dobbs says:
        October 27, 2022 at 11:09 am

        Beyond Catastrophe A New Climate Reality Is Coming Into View

        NY Times magazine – Oct 26

        You can never really see the future, only imagine it, then try to make sense of the new world when it arrives.

        Just a few years ago, climate projections for this century looked quite apocalyptic, with most scientists warning that continuing “business as usual” would bring the world four or even five degrees Celsius of warming — a change disruptive enough to call forth not only predictions of food crises and heat stress, state conflict and economic strife, but, from some corners, warnings of civilizational collapse and even a sort of human endgame. (Perhaps you’ve had nightmares about each of these and seen premonitions of them in your newsfeed.)

        Now, with the world already 1.2 degrees hotter, scientists believe that warming this century will most likely fall between two or three degrees. (A United Nations report released this week ahead of the COP27 climate conference in Sharm el Sheikh, Egypt, confirmed that range.) A little lower is possible, with much more concerted action; a little higher, too, with slower action and bad climate luck. Those numbers may sound abstract, but what they suggest is this: Thanks to astonishing declines in the price of renewables, a truly global political mobilization, a clearer picture of the energy future and serious policy focus from world leaders, we have cut expected warming almost in half in just five years. …

        (A lengthy article, with dramatic photography.)

  • Fred C. Dobbs says:
    October 26, 2022 at 9:02 am

    (OK, sometimes I like to read what Ross Douthat has to say.)

    Newsom vs. DeSantis Is Our Inevitable Culture War

    NY Times – Oct 26

    … much of Trump-era conservatism is convinced that worrying too much about classical-liberal niceties is a sucker’s game. But anyone who imagines that Trumpism took shape in isolation needs to understand how this “don’t be a sucker” attitude has been reaffirmed and strengthened by progressive governance that seems equally unconcerned about neutrality or fairness.

    Consider one of the sharpest contrasts in our national life right now, the difference between Gov. Ron DeSantis and Gov. Gavin Newsom, Florida and California. In liberal polemic, DeSantis is the frightening embodiment of illiberalism after Trump, a punitive practitioner of governmental overreach — using the powers of his office to go after corporations that speak out on liberal causes, undermining free speech in Florida universities, threatening unjust restrictions on medical care for gender-dysphoric kids. …

    If you are a Florida progressive frightened by DeSantis’s political warfare, though, consider the position of a social or religious conservative in California in recent years. A recent summary from David French, himself no partisan of the populist right, is a good place to start: He writes that “over the last decade, California Democrats have launched their own frontal attack on the First Amendment, one that matches or exceeds Gov. DeSantis’s in both intensity and scale.” French’s examples include attempts to force pro-life pregnancy centers to advertise abortions, Covid-era restrictions on religious free exercise that the Supreme Court repeatedly struck down, requirements that churches provide abortion coverage in their health plans and prohibitions on state-sponsored travel to other states deemed too hostile to gay rights (currently 23 are on the list).

    To this list one might add the Diversity-Equity-Inclusion loyalty oaths expected of many academic job-seekers in California’s public universities. Or the state’s prosecution of David Daleiden, the pro-life muckraker who released videos showing Planned Parenthood officials casually discussing fetal dismemberment. Or the new Californian measure, signed by Newsom last month, threatening doctors with disciplinary action if they offer what the state considers Covid “misinformation” to their patients.

    If you read this list and think, these sounds like excellent, uncontroversial ideas, congratulations, you’ve just made the conservative case for voting for DeSantis, if not for Trumpism redux. Because all of these policies ensure that under Californian conditions, dissenters from liberal orthodoxy experience the same “bound, but unprotected” relationship to the state and its policies that Florida progressives feel themselves experiencing with DeSantis. And to give up the weapons of state power that your opponents are using so freely feels, inevitably, like unilateral disarmament. …

    (Gavin Newsom is not actually mentioned much in this piece, but it seems he is the quintessential California liberal these days.)

     

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