Decennial Census Temp & Intermittent Employment
There seems to be some confusion about the impact of Census employment of temporary and intermittent employment for the 2020 Census.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics has a table showing the monthly employment for Special Census workers. You can find it at: BLS – Special Census Workers
The table also has the data from the 1990 and 2000 Census so you can compare what happened in those Censuses to what to expect over the next year. I took the data from Table 1 of total nonfarm employment and subtract the Census employment to create a new series, Total NonFarm Employment excluding Census Temp & Intermittent Employment. The chart shows the last some 20 years of special Census employment. As you can see, this months 27,000 increase hardly shows in the chart compared to what happened in the 2000 and 2010 Censuses or what we can expect over the next year.
Good post. Bert had claimed Census employment was already 1 million. BLS notes it reached only 27,000. Sure next year it will be higher but likely somewhere near 600,000 at its peak.
I do wish people would cite reliable data rather than just make stuff up.
“I took the data from Table 1 of total nonfarm employment and subtract the Census employment to create a new series, Total NonFarm Employment excluding Census Temp & Intermittent Employment. The chart shows the last some 20 years of special Census employment.”
Great idea but I think you forgot to include this chart in the post.
It is easy to find where “some people” get it wrong. The challenge is to see if there was a point in there somewhere.
The need to adjust employment expectation due to census employment has already reached significance.
Census is a inflation indicator. The infamous EPR of 64.7 in 2000 was totally because of census. Nor PGL, did I say a million jobs were created. August was the first census ramp and it showed up in the data.
pgl There is a chart like you want at the census footnote referenced above.
“Bert Schlitz
September 9, 2019 2:43 pm
Census is a inflation indicator. The infamous EPR of 64.7 in 2000 was totally because of census.”
You write a lot of meaningless babble but this one really took the cake.
“Nor PGL, did I say a million jobs were created.” Yea you did Bert. But deny, deny, deny. You never had an ounce of credibility in the 1st place.
Under this post:
http://angrybearblog.com/2019/09/august-jobs-report-for-once-the-underwhelming-headline-masked-very-good-internals.html
We see this comment:
“Bert Schlitz
September 6, 2019 2:29 pm
Census added about a million jobs yry to household and it’s distorting employment. This disinvestment from census is a problem in 2020”
Yes Bert’s writing is atrocious but it is clear that he lied when he recently denied making this incredibly bogus claim.
Spencer’s data shows that Census workers at most were 0.53 million during any month in 2000. Civilian employment was 212 million back in 2000 so this is a mere 0.25%. So when Bert writes:
“The infamous EPR of 64.7 in 2000 was totally because of census”
Bert is being his usual stupid self. The sentence he wrote before this stupid claim was even dumber.