Engineering a Permanent Democratic Majority
Matthew Yglesias points the direction in his post: the Geographically smallest Electoral College map, which starts with the densest states and works down:
If Democrats can bring Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida (or even two or three of them) firmly into the Democratic camp, the game is over for the foreseeable future.
Those states are clearly where Democrats’ long-term, big-picture political efforts need to be focused in the next two to four years.
Cross-posted at Asymptosis.
If you’ve been following Ruy Teixeira he has been saying Texas will be purple in the next 5-10 years. We just can’t replace angry white rednecks fast enough to keep the GOP viable as a majority party here. (yay)
Of course this assumes the GOP won’t get a clue about their position on immigration anytime soon. Not a major concern here.
This is silly. What’s the point if you can’t control Congress?
You want a Democratic majority? Get 30 states, as well as 270 electors.
I agree.
It has seemed very strange to me that more efforts have not been expended here in NC.
We are a fertile ground for info about our infiltration by Blackwater/Xe types running amuck out of the Bragg (and I do mean “brag”) Boys Club.
I seem to remember in 1964 the GOP was declared dead and the Democrats were going to reign for a generation.
Pride goeth before the fall, yada yada.
Really? LBJ knew he lost the south forever with the Civil Rights Act of 1965.
Then came Nixon’s southern strategy, Reagan’s Philadelphia, Miss. speech, Rush Limbaugh, Fox News, and all the dog whistles you hear from Rethugs these days.
The GOP resurrected itself on racism and misinformation.
It’s been quite brilliant, really.
JzB
Meanwhile in GOP world headquarters, this year’s map looks like this: http://www.unskewedpolls.com/unskewed_projection_2012%20president_02.cfm
Has anybody notified the Kochs? They could save millions of dollars on weekend ads, obviously Mitt’s got it handled.
I tend to believe 538 blog which is less business and more statistical. Obama is up to 300 electoral votes and has the west coast, Nevada, New Mexico, Virgina as well as much of the northeast. The only thing missing is Indiana. With the rise of the Hispanic population, states such as Arizona will tip Dem.
Jazz:
The Democrats looked in the black vote with the “most white men are racist” theme, so dog whistles work both ways.
Then the limosine liberals put working class children on buses four hours a day.
By the way, the only racist organization I ever belonged to was the AFL-CIO building trades, all of which were ancillaries for the Democratic Party.
calling out the racists and their strategy is a racist strategy?
what non-sense! just about every republican and most of the south is racist, prejudiced or just plain hateful. i know, i live here.
they all have ODS. spout non-sense!
believe the crap on Fox News.
I don’t know where the notion that Indiana could become solidly Democratic comes from. I grew up there and have family there now. None of us can see any sign that Indiana is shifting that far to Democrats. Romney is leading there by over 10%.
Mourdock is loosing because he is fringy and because he took out the best known and least divisive Republicans in the state. That doesn’t make Indiana vulnerable to Democratic fantasies. It just means Dan Burton was a special case and could never have won statewide office. Most of Indiana ain’t stupid enough to vote for Burton or Mourdock, but will vote for Romney.
I agree with khakis. Indiana is not changing its spots any time soon. They may well reject Mourdock but his opponent is a very blue dog.
In what world does IN go Blue but WI and MI are Red????
The next state to become a toss up, isnt TX or AZ (Romney won those solidly), it is GA. In 2016, or 2020 by the latest GA will be like NC today.