A Finger Exercise for Dr. Black

The good doctor quotes the Paper of Record:

Garages near Yankee Stadium, built over the objections of Bronx neighbors appalled at losing parkland for yet more parking lots, turn out never to be more than 60 percent full, even on game days. The city has lost public space, the developers have lost a fortune.

and gets distracted a bit:

With something like a stadium the issue is a bit trickier, though it’s clear that they’ve stupidly erred on the side of way too much parking.

Let’s make this easy. We’ll ignore that it was never difficult to park at Yankee Stadium before. (Driving there is another issue.) Let’s just look at expectations of parking needs by Stadium Seating Capacity:

2008 – 56,936

Now – 50,291 (52,325 SRO)

Looks to me as if Seating Capacity is down more than 10% in the new ballpark. Now there are other changes—ticket prices raised, for instance, and I believe more corporate tax deductions “luxury boxes”—that might have affected the number of people who drive to Yankee Stadium positively.

But there were no other major infrastructure improvements: the 155th Street bridge that I used to walk to games over hasn’t been widened, the FDR and the Harlem River Drive are still the same, the bridges all have the same capacity (though the tolls went up on several of those, which might shift people from driving).

Given that, what would you expect to happen if you added parking capacity?

Corollary question: If you were a member of the neighborhood, and knew all of the above in advance, what would your reaction be to losing park space for commercial parking lots?