Obama’s fiscal commission offers recommendations
Some of the recommendations as outlined by TPM from the Pres. Obama’s Bowles and Simpson fiscal commission:
Social Security cuts:
- Index the retirement age to longevity — i.e., increase the retirement age to qualify for Social Security — to age 69 by 2075.
- Index Social Security yearly increases to inflation rather than wages, which will generally mean lower cost of living increases and less money per average recipient.
- “Increase progressivity of benefit formula” — i.e., means test part of Social Security benefits by 2050.
- Increase the Social Security contribution ceiling: while people only pay Social Security taxes on the first $106,800 of their wages today, that’s only about 86% of the total potentially taxable wages. The co-chairs suggest raising the ceiling to capture 90% of wages.
Tax reform:
- The co-chairs suggest capping both government expenditures and revenue at 21% of GDP eventually.
- In their first plan, called “The Zero Plan,” they suggest reducing the tax brackets to three personal brackets and one corporate rate while eliminated all credits and deductions. Without any credits or deductions (including the ETIC and mortgage interest deductions), the 3 tax rates would be 8, 14 and 23 percent.
- In their second plan, they would increase the personal deduction to $15,000, create 3 tax brackets (15, 25 and 35%); repeal or significantly curtail a number of popular tax deductions (including the state and local deduction and the mortgage interest deduction); and eliminate other tax expenditures.
- The third plan would force Congress to undertake comprehensive tax reform by 2012 by raising taxes for each year Congress fails to act.
- All their proposals limit Congress to collecting taxes on income made within the United States, reducing or eliminating taxes on American expats and revenues companies earn abroad.
- They also suggest raising the federal gas tax by 15 cents per gallon.
Medicaid/Medicare cuts
- Force more low-income individuals into Medicaid managed care.
- Increase Medicaid co-pays.
- Accelerate already-planned cuts to Medicare Advantage and home health care programs.
- Create a cap for Medicaid/Medicare growth that would force Congress and the President to increase premiums or co-pays or raise the Medicare eligibility age (among other options) if the system encounters cost overruns over the course of 5 years.
Discretionary spending cuts
- Eliminate all earmarks.
- Eliminate the Office of Safe and Drug-Free Schools.
- Freeze federal worker wage increases through 2014; eliminate 200,000 federal jobs by 2020; and eliminate 250,000 federal non-defense contractor jobs by 2015.
- Eliminate subsidized student loans, in which the government makes interest payments while the student is in school.
- Establish co-pays in the VA medical system and change the co-pays and deductibles for military retirees that remain in that system.
- Eliminate NASA funding for commercial space flight.
- Require the Smithsonian museums to start charging entrance fees and raise fees at the national parks.
- Eliminate funding to the Corporation for Public Broadcasting — which many conservatives suggested in the wake of the firing of former NPR contributor Juan Williams.
- Reduce farm subsidies by $3 billion per year.
- Create a Committee to eliminate unnecessary programs to the tune of $11 billion by 2015.
- Merge the Department of Commerce and the Small Business Administration and cut its budget by 10 percent.
- End “low-priority” Army Corps of Engineers programs to the tune of $1 billion by 2015.
- Cut the State Department’s overseas budget by 10 percent by 2015; reduce the proposed foreign aid budget by 10 percent in 2015; and cut voluntary contributions to the United Nations by 10 percent in 2015.
- Eliminate the Overseas Private Investment Corporation, which provides subsidized financing and political risk insurance for U.S. companies’ investments abroad.
- Cut $900 million in fossil fuel research funds.
- Force airlines to increase their contributions to airline security costs and allow them to increase per-ticket security fees.
Defense spending cuts:
- Double the number of defense contractor positions scheduled for elimination from 10 percent of current staff augmentees to 20 percent.
- Reduce procurement by 15 percent, or $20 billion.
- Eliminate the V-22 Osprey program.
- Cancel the Marine Corps’ Expeditionary Fighting Vehicle program.
- Halve the number of F-35 Joint Strike Fighters in favor of F-16s and F/A-18Es.
- Cancel the Marine Corps F-35 program.
- Cancel the Navy’s Future Maritime Prepositioning Force.
- Cancel the new Joint Light Tactical Vehicle (JLTV), the Ground Combat Vehicle, and the Joint Tactical Radio.
- Reduce military forces in Europe and Asia by one-third.
- Send all military children based in the U.S. to local schools.
The report also recommends tort reform as a way to reduce Medicare and Medicaid expenditure
http://tpmdc.talkingpointsmemo.com/2010/11/deficit-commission-co-chairs-simpson-and-bowles-release-eye-popping-recommendations.php
better link
Yes…changed and thanks.
Rdan,
This one will generate a lot of posts. Obama’s catfood commission really threw out a bag full of it…Some thoughts,
The attack on SS will not work and will go away. the program is in the black. Though raising the full benefit age line may get through. Means testing may get through here and there is left wing support for upping the taxable line – makes it more ‘progressive’. As coberly and Bruce have pointed out, these changes will make SS into welfare or very close. Medicare is getting off very easy here even though its bleeding money faster than anyone.
The entire tax section is someone’s 3 am fantasy…
Other than the Army Corp of Engineering, fossil fuels research, and the NASA cuts – I’m all go on everything in that section. And that would cost me money.
The DoD cuts would mostly work but the savings might not materialize. Cutting F-35s to buy F-16/F-18s would actually increase costs for tactical aviation buy. Killing the Marine Corp F-35 buy would end Marine fixed-wing aviation – not going to happen, Marine Corp is too strong on the Hill (reguardless if you think that is a wise move or not)
A lot of the other cuts (Osprey, JLTV, EFV) are replacing used up equipment with newer more modern stuff. Some savings there, but your going to have to either downsize the Marines or buy something anyway. I would reduce military forces in Europe and NE Asia by 90%.
I have no idea why the last line about DoD kids is in there. Is that going to really save money? DoD kids going to local schools PAY the schools (the Gov pays) to attend. It makes up for the lack of property tax on the Federal bases. I bet the money saved here is less than the NPR savings.
But as I said earlier – its all DOA…
Islam will change
Buff–Peterson won big just getting Bowles and Simpson to put this stuff out there. Especially the Social Security stuff. The cuts in SS as the Catfood gang describe them won’t make it into law. But, I notice that people know so little about government finance generally that they think that increasing the FICA tax base will magically fix the whole problem.
They also think that Means Testing keeps rich folks from getting SS. Yes, but that’s not all it does. Works the other way, too. Means testing includes assets like savings and 401K equity as well as income and doesn’t do anything to make the TF go farther. Say goodbye to retirement, Mr. and Mrs. Median income wage earners. Savings will cost you. This stuff is just sad. Very depressing.
Your comments on DOD spending are excellent. Thing about all this is that ordinary members of Congress don’t understand how the DOD works and what it spends its money on. Cutting anything in the absence of knowledge is just nutz. Just as nutz as increasing spending in a knowledge vacuum. So, yet another Commission. Twenty volumes printed by the GPO. On the shelf. I am truly glad it only cost the taxpayers $500K. NancyO
Buff
the attacks on SS work on the Dick Cheney principle: blaze away with a shotgun long enough and you’re bound to hit something.
Here is my post on the proposal, just working from a NYT report on it, not from reading the actual report.
http://www.zacks.com/stock/news/43064/Deficit+Reduction%3A+A+Daft+Draft
Seems like class warfare by the rich against the poor, the 10% brakect only goes down to 8%, a 20% or 2 point drop vs. the 35% bracket going to 23% a 12 point and 34.3% drop?
How do we go from here to there on the MI elimination. The deductabilty has been capitalized into the price of houses. If it goes awa, the value of houses goes down….big time. We already have 23% of the houses w/ mtg’s underwater, heck why don’t we just make it 50% for the heck of it. Just how socially acceptable will strategic defaults be then, about as socially acceptable as spending a saturday afternoon at your kids little leauge game. Ok, I exagerate a bit there, but only a bit. A better way would be to cap the amount of MI that can be deducted, and do this gradually, say can’t deduct more than $24,000 per year this year, going down to 21,000 the next year and 18,000 the year after that sort of thing.
It may be a little more targeted than that. Actually I was surprised that they gutted SS less than I expected. And I’m conflicted over which is better or worse going forward nowadays, being indexed to wages or CPI.
But the rub is in the fine print:
___________________________________________________________
Create a cap for Medicaid/Medicare growth that would force Congress and the President to increase premiums or co-pays or raise the Medicare eligibility age (among other options) if the system encounters cost overruns over the course of 5 years. “
___________________________________________________________
So here we have the opportunity for the gov to open up a large wormhole for your SS payments to enter (they will probably deduct the premium from your SS check to save old people the trouble of doddering around looking for their checkbook) and then these funds travel thru the wormhole (albeit efficiently) to US Healthcare Inc. I think we are justified in calling that corporate welfare since US Healthcare Inc costs twice as much as any other developed country spends on healthcare.
The new simplified tax plan is a hoot. I think they reserve a shelf in the Library of Congress for simplified tax plans. Kind of boring reading as they are all nearly identical. Too bad they didn’t comment on whether the Bush cuts should end on schedule or not. That seems to be the immediate hurdle, then we can grapple with sci-fi scenarios like eliminating the mortgage deduction and watching 60% of the country time travel back to the 1930s, or even earlier centuries.
But MG is right, this was one of those damn leaks they have in DC all the time and it still needs finishing. Then the commision has to vote to send it to Congress for consideration, Congress will debate the points and need to put it in legislative form, then by the time it passes they will send it to that Irish guy who moved back to Chicago, who will certainly want it for reference while he is writing his memoirs.
O’MG,
Spelling corrected. But never mentioned the recommendations sent to WH. Members of course were determined by the WH. Please be accurate as well.
Cedric
wage indexing makes more sense… it keeps pay as you go sane. i suppose it’s possible that the price index will rise faster than the wage index, but we ought to pay attention to fundamentals and not make decisions based on imaginary bottom lines.
MG
OBama is an obscure Irish pol who rules from the shadows. Rdan actually meant to say Yo Bama, the shady politician who appointed these guys.
Perhaps the better way is to reduce the amount borrowed cap, to 500k for new mortgages, and re-fis. then reduce it further. Perhaps you provide that the cap is the conforming mortgage limit in the future. (Nationwide, so that if you want to buy a house on the coasts you don’t get the deduction, which would tend to reduce the disparity accross the country in housing prices.
Pelosi had something to say:
On the Proposal Released by Co-Chairs of the Fiscal Commission
Our nation is facing two challenges: the need to create jobs and address our budget deficit. Any viable proposal from the President’s Fiscal Commission must strengthen our economy, but it must do so in a fair way, focusing on how we can effectively promote economic growth.
This proposal is simply unacceptable. Any final proposal from the Commission should do what is right for our children and grandchildren’s economic security as well as for our nation’s fiscal security, and it must do what is right for our seniors, who are counting on the bedrock promises of Social Security and Medicare. And it must strengthen America’s middle class families-under siege for the last decade, and unable to withstand further encroachment on their economic security.
Its DOA
Nancy O,
I worked the POM (DoD budget) when Clinton was in office. Congress spends in BIG chunks. Usually anything under $5 Billion is a specific earmark (like $55 million for a new weapons storage facility at Senator Big Man’s hometown base). The entire DoD budget, 100s of billions is laid out in just a few pages.
That was my point about cuts. Congress doesn’t do the details – that what the executive does. Cutting everything by 10% (or whatever) forces the executive branch to make the decisions, and take the political hit, on exactly what to cut. Obama and teh Dems blew their majority. And now we get divided government – YEA!!!!
Islam will change
O’Dan – “O’MG, Spelling corrected. But never mentioned the recommendations sent to WH. Members of course were determined by the WH. Please be accurate as well.”
I don’t think you want to go there.
The National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform (NCFRR) did not make any recommendations. Period. The commission has yet to vote on any recommendations. The only recommendations under discussion are those submitted by the cochairs to the committee members for consideration.
Your blog post title and lead sentence are still misleading. The commission hasn’t recommended anything.
To your second point: “Members of course were determined by the WH.”
Only six of the eighteen members were appointed by President Obama.
Charter for the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform
http://www.fiscalcommission.gov/charter
EXCERPT:
“12. Membership and Designation. The Commission shall be composed of 18 members who shall be selected as follows:
(1) six members appointed by the President, not more than four of whom shall be from the same political party and will serve as Special Government Employees;
(2) three members selected by the Majority Leader of the Senate, all of whom shall be current Members of the Senate and serve as regular Government Employees;
(3) three members selected by the Speaker of the House of Representatives, all of whom shall be current Members of the House of Representatives and serve as regular Government Employees ;
(4) three members selected by the Minority Leader of the Senate, all of whom shall be current Members of the Senate and serve as regular Government Employees; and
(5) three members selected by the Minority Leader of the House of Representatives, all of whom shall be current Members of the House of Representatives and serve as regular Government Employees.
From among his appointees, the President shall designate two members, who shall not be of the same political party, to serve as Co-Chairs of the Commission. The Commission shall be headed by an Executive Director, who will provide management and leadership for staff operations, and may also serve as the Designated Federal Officer.”
coberly, that explains everything!
Dirk,
I read your article. You should have read the draft proposal from the cochairs. It was available at the Commission’s website.
There a few good ideas in the package.
So, what is Pelosi’s proposal for job creation or deficit reduction after leading the U.S. House of Representatives since 2007, and leading the House Democrats since 2002?
If Pelosi has an alternate proposal to the whatever the Fiscal Commission ultimately provides (if any vote is ever undertaken) for the President’s consideration, where is it? Come on, Nancy. Put it out there.
I don’t see any reason to get excited.
All the special interest groups, blogs, news media clowns, and individuals from Pelosi on down who are jumping to the microphone this week are making it clear that they are voting to hit the iceberg. Why bother to try to compromise and save the nation…
Still on course. Iceberg dead ahead.
My bet is the Titanic runs out of gas before it hits the iceberg, then the iceberg steams full ahead and rams the Titanic.
The crushed ice lobby is probably getting nervous about subsidies.
So here we have the opportunity for the gov to open up a large wormhole for your SS payments to enter (they will probably deduct the premium from your SS check to save old people the trouble of doddering around looking for their checkbook) and then these funds travel thru the wormhole (albeit efficiently) to US Healthcare Inc. I think we are justified in calling that corporate welfare since US Healthcare Inc costs twice as much as any other developed country spends on healthcare.
Medicare premium is taken out of your Social Security automatically, so sorry us disabled and feeble minded old folks do not have to worry about paying the insurance/medicare once a month with a check. Just a heads up so you know in the future. Our checks are also direct deposited too! Amazing isn’t it.
Ya, Mom and Dad explained to me that’s how it works now. But they also have to write a check for private supplemental medicare insurance which covers the deductible and copay of standard medicare.
I was just describing the Retirement for Dummies version here, for the benefit of the completely uninitiated.
So the real problem remains, they may legislate what amounts to automatic increases in the premium deducted from your SS check, along with decreases in coverage, and then if you can still write a check once a month for private stop gap coverage, that cost will balloon as well.
I’ve already calculated in the fact that my future SS check will really be a cancelled receipt for Medicare. I had that covered in the financial plan, but ZIRP forever throws me an unanticipated curve on the income side of the calculation.
I believe in Gaelic tongues, the name O’Bama means, “Son of Alabama”.
MG is correct about these “preliminary” recommendations being from the Chairs and addressed to the whole Commission for action. But lets make note of where these two “bipartisan” shills come from. Simpson had already played his Peterson Foundation membershhip card. Bowles is a well paid Board member with the banking industry, $300,000 for a few meetings each year. That reeks of “bought and paid for” as far as I’m concerned. So what two partisan ideologies are they bi-partisan reps of?
Write to your Congress people. Express your concern and the need for a truly unbiased approach to dealing with budgetary issues. Bowles and Simpson are a pair of hacks paid to bark when the bank says heel.
Youtube has a primer on congressional banking in their wonderful “Hitler is still with us” series of videos.
In this one, Hitler works on his banking operations…
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9kPCYcBm-C8