Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Open Thread II: Treasury Boogaloo

Geithner it is. I guess we can pretend he’s not a Clinton administration alum. And he has the right experience: Though not an economist, Mr. Geithner has a deep understanding of monetary and fiscal policy and broad experience in international trade issues. Before the current crisis, he was involved in the bailouts of Mexico, Indonesia, […]

GM and Japanese style on auto

rdan hat tip to reader Jack for this example of reading making the rounds of car dealers: Subject: An example of American management expertise. It’s nice when they use an analogy to show what’s really going on – then we can understand it better. This should be sent to GM !!! Toyota and GM decided […]

Parable of the Burning State

OSO writes: “With thousands of houses already torched beyond repair and tens ofthousands more likely to perish, this mass immolation will reduce thesurplus supply of houses in California.” said Professor Saul O’Hara ofthe New York School of Economics today. “With a drop in supply therewill come an increase in prices, which will then reinvigorate thestate’s, […]

Gold based system

by reader vtcodger In a discussion on November 16th under the title The Gold Standard in One Easy Quote, I suggested inverting a chart of the spot price of gold in dollars to get a chart of the way a gold based currency would behave. Rdan thoughtfully inverted said chart (labels and all) and asked […]

Dynamically Inconsistent Preferences and Money Demand (repeat)

Emanuele Millemaci and Robert Waldmann This paper focuses on two main issues. First, we find that, on average, households’ discount rates decline. This implies dynamically inconsistent preferences. Second, we calculate an indicator of the degree of dynamic inconsistency that may help us to understand how households overcome their self-control problems. We use a micro data […]

Reasons to be Cheerful

Ken Houghton Christopher Buckley leads the Republican Party to water, and speculates on watching them sink: …GOP pin-up girl Sarah Palin. I’ll stipulate that that’s condescending, if my former confreres on the Right will stipulate that had Gov. Palin’s first name been “Bob” or “Chuck,” her surname would still be unrecognizable to 90 percent of […]

Everything Old is New Again

Back in the Good Old Days, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs) all the rage. Not coincidentally, the phrase “underfunded pension liabilities” moved into the mainstream. Long story short: when legislation is finally passed to make the “underfunded” portion a thing of the past (you can stop laughing any time), several large companies run by Captains of Industry—think […]

DOW 6400 or lower

Hat tip MG. CNBC has a good video on the next 12 months and a possible floor for the DIJA. MG says a pretty good bet is around 6500, and a worst in the 4500 range. Update: Vtcodger points us to a post at Calculated Risk with graphs.

Fixing Credit Rating Agencies

by guest poster David Zetland of Aguanomics Fixing Credit Rating Agencies And now for something completely different… I read yet another story on how the credit rating agencies (Standard and Poors, Moodys, Fitch, et al.) failed at their task of rating credit instruments (bonds, derivatives, etc.) to reflect the risk of those instruments. The credit […]