Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Another Economist Blog on Social Security

The very good discussion of the Social Security issue between Andrew Samwick and Max Sawicky has been extended as Andrew and Max point to this contribution from David Altig. David’s blog will become a must read for me – and his point is simply that the timing of spending versus tax receipts is less important […]

“Advocates” Defend Bush’s Borrowing to Address Social Security

This Reuters story tries to give one of those “fair and balanced” discussions but one word tips us off just a wee bit. The story includes: Facing record budget deficits, the Bush administration likely will turn to short-term government borrowing to help finance its plan to add personal retirement accounts to Social Security, officials said […]

Kerry’s Corporate Tax Proposal versus The American Jobs Creation Act

Had Senator Kerry been elected President, we would be talking about his proposal to reduce the corporate tax rate to 32% and to eliminate the deferral benefits under Subpart F, which would have reduced the temptation to abuse the transfer pricing regulations under section 482. Instead, there is much discussion of The American Jobs Creation […]

Changing the Bush Economic Team

The Washington Post updates us this morning on the current thinking in the White House about changing Bush’s economic team. It looks like Snow will be out soon too: Aides said changing four of the five top economic officials — including the Treasury and Commerce secretaries, with only budget director Joshua B. Bolten likely to […]

The Dollar’s Decline

The dollar’s downward slide of the past two months is continuing today. The dollar has hit a new record low against the euro, unsurprisingly; but the dollar is also at multiple-year lows against the Canadian dollar, Korean Won, and Swiss Franc, and has declined significantly against the pound and yen in recent weeks. What had […]

Help Wanted: Economic Advisors for President

The Bush administration will soon have a couple of positions open for economists. Bush’s chair of the CEA and director of the NEC will both be stepping down in the next couple of months: Stephen Friedman, who left Wall Street to assume one of the top economic posts in the White House, will return to […]

Are IRS agents writing Federal legislation?

Via Josh Marshall comes more GOP passing the buck on the Istook Amendment: WASHINGTON – Sen. Ted Stevens on Monday showed reporters a handwritten legislative proposal from an IRS employee that slipped into and nearly stopped the massive appropriations bill passed by Congress this weekend. Stevens said the note proves that neither he nor any […]

Yes, We Can Balance the Budget Next Year

The Bush administration and some congressional allies are considering ways to keep Social Security privatization from adding to the budget deficit: simply put the expenses that necessarily come with privatization “off-budget”, so that they don’t add to the official measure of the US federal budget deficit. There’s a good justification for doing this, according to […]

Is the Social Security Trust Fund Worth Anything?

Kent Smetters poses this question as the title of this paper. Several economists including myself would answer yes to this question but then Smetters notes that we are assuming policymakers set spending and tax rates for the other levels of government so as to insure that the General Fund adheres to a long-run balanced budget […]