I dare to disagree with Nate Silver
…he explained why noting that even if the polls are unbiased there is extreme publication bias as campaigns release the polls if and only if they like the results. I…
…he explained why noting that even if the polls are unbiased there is extreme publication bias as campaigns release the polls if and only if they like the results. I…
…Cut Nobody Heard of, NY Times, Oct. 18, 2010 (noting that a reporter’s query at a Republican gathering ifound most commenters saying that their taxes had gone up under Obama…
…Economic and Policy Research, May 2010 (noting that some conservatives blame public employee pay for the strain facing local government budgets, rather than acknowleding the recession and the lower tax…
…federalist justice in recent decades, explained this by noting that state courts are courts of “competent jurisdiction” to consider constitutional issues. Which is true, but beside the point. The federal…
…e_d and e_w become large, e is, as a rule, less than unity.” We call ‘flight from the currency’ hyper-inflation. Keynes is noting that money becomes neutral during hyperinflations. This,…
…the mortgages for a low price but didn’t share the data with investors. Both the investment banks and the ratings agencies defend themselves noting vague statements about declining underwriting standards…
…“the carousel of progress,” and noting that she has often failed but ends up ahead. Mr. van Oostrom moved primarily into green building technologies after meeting with Al Gore. Discovered…
…finally proves her value by noting that need to make these points through stories and narratives. That gets the young people involved in an issue. Ashley Judd lists several organizations…
…be sold. It assumes that risky assets are not systematically worth much more to the Treasury than to private investors. Thus the cost is the cost if the Treasury liquidiated…
…banks and AIG were OK investments and GSEs weren’t because in one case he includes expected discounted repayments and in the other he decides they are zero. It is worth…