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Explaining the Capital Flow Puzzle

…of the puzzle – the puzzle being why poor Asian economies are lending so much money to the United States. Hubbard’s point boils down to this: China and other developing…

Evaluating the Soft Landing Scenario

…realignments is not good. That’s because a small change in a fixed exchange rate typically leads to increased speculative flows, not decreased speculative flows, which means that the fixed exchange…

A Tale of Two Landings: Part I

…deficit to around $750bn, or over 6% of GDP. Yet private capital flows into the US slow because of fears of further dollar depreciation. Asian CBs must therefore buy even…

The Deficit and The Dollar

…Asian central banks accounting for 86 per cent of flows. A similar picture is emerging for 2004. … The People’s Bank of China has let it be known that China…

Been There, Done That

…the time for its crisis-management policies and its advocacy of deregulating capital flows. In retrospect, Fischer’s arguments in favor of capital account liberalization appear overly zealous, and he has drawn…