Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

You searched for: label/NAIRU

What’s in a name?

…no matter the labels thrown upon them, going back 1000s of years. Its recurring features — concentrated power, weak accountability mechanisms, suppression of organized opposition — are structural problems of…

The Problem with Macro, and An Apology

…that Real Business Cycle Theory can actually explain any significant portion of Business Cycles in either direction; that NAIRU is a workable concept, even as “skill shortages” cause it to…

QE 2 and breakevens

…rate near zero when unemployment gets down near the non accelerating inflation rate (NAIRU). People with this view tend to argue that the Fed could have convinced people that it…

What more can the Fed do ?

…the economy is back to normal — a promise to create inflation in the distant future by driving unemployment below the NAIRU is not credible. So I don’t think that…

Quantitative Easing

…this) then have high inflation once it returns to normal (by making unemployment lower than the NAIRU). This means that long term bonds will be cheap (have high yield) and…

Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Liquidity Trap: Comment

…fiscal policy to keep the unemployment rate exactly at the NAIRU. Since writing the post, Krugman has been wondering why Obama is so much less ambitious. I try to explain…

Are We Near Full Employment?

…employment, his left-leaning Keynesian position has merit. While “hot” is an ambiguous term, some economists would note that NAIRU and full employment may have different meanings. Let’s recall that there…