Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

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GDP Gap Stuck at 6%

…A sharp drop in government spending, heavily concentrated in defense, coupled with a decline in inventories caused GDP to shrink at a 0.1 percent rate in the 4th quarter. Government…

If too big then, what are they now?

…HSBC. Deal book reports two recent examples of trend: GOLDMAN PROFIT ROSE TO $2.89 BILLION IN 4TH QUARTER Goldman Sachs on Wednesday reported a fourth-quarter profit of $2.89 billion, or…

The Employment Situation

…higher in the 4th quarter as individuals shift income from 2013 back to 2012 to avoid or minimize the expected tax rate increase in 2013.But the hourly wage employees in…

CGI 2011: Haiti Development Workshop

[updates and edits, especially in the 4th-6th grafs] “The winner” in Haitian development created 12,000 jobs in the garment industry in the past eight years in Haiti. Seems as if…

GDP Gap versus S&P 500 EPS

…to its 7% long run trend and the consensus bottom-up earnings forecast has it surpassing the long run trend in either the 4th quarter or the 1st quarter. By way…