Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Kerry lawyers scrutinize voting in Ohio

This title is taken directly from this MSNBC story, which notes that Bush had a 136 thousand vote lead before the provisional ballots and that there are 155,337 provisional ballots. David Wade of the Kerry camp stated: While the outcome of the election is not in doubt, no one cares more about voting irregularities than […]

The Equity Premium

In thinking about Social Security privatization Brad DeLong writes: Will [Social Security privatization] be a good deal? It could be, if: The large premium return on equities really is a market failure that private accounts can profit from, rather than merely compensation for risk. Private accounts are set up so that they are not eaten […]

Building Inflation Pressures?

Where’s the inflation? Oil prices have risen by about 50% this year, while the dollar has weakened by about 10% (on a trade-weighted basis), which raises import prices. We would typically expect both of these effects to generate inflation. Yet most measures of inflation still show it at historically very low levels. However, this CBSMarketwatch.com […]

The Answer

I’m sure you are all waiting with bated breath for the answer to the question posed in my mystery map post. Despite my error, the first two commenters had the right guess, and the third, Andy, figured out the error: I vote for NFL cities also – figuring that IA is mistakingly taking the place […]

The American Jobs Creation Act and Transfer Pricing Abuse

A transfer pricing review from one of the Big Four accounting firms notes that the The American Jobs Creation Act allows for deductions for income attributable to U.S. production activities. This review also notes that: section 482 principles to allocate gross receipts between the different activities (for example, the activity of roasting coffee beans qualifies […]

The Fed Moves

Expectations were for another quarter point hike, and true to form, Greenspan did not disappoint those market expectations (he never does): The Federal Open Market Committee decided today to raise its target for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 2 percent. The Committee believes that, even after this action, the stance of […]

Down, Down, Down…

The dollar has hit a record low already this morning against the euro, of over $1.30 per euro. The yen/dollar exchange rate is still hovering at about 106. I suspect that the Japanese CB has stepped up their purchases of dollars in the last week or two… Kash

Thoughts on the Electoral College

Musings about the problems inherent in the Electoral College are still floating about; see Josh Marshall for one thoughtful example. And I have to agree with Marshall; I would have felt mighty uncomfortable if Kerry had won Ohio, and thus the presidency, while 3.5 million more Americans voted for Bush. I think the Electoral College […]

Wanted: New Secretary of Commerce

Donald Evans is leaving his position as Secretary of Commerce. And I can’t imagine how it will make the slightest difference to anything: At Commerce, Evans backed Bush’s economic policies enthusiastically. He traveled the nation, talking with small business groups, extolling the benefits of lower taxes and reduced regulation. Nevertheless, Evans left no discernible mark […]

Making Maps is Fun!

Over the weekend, I happened across a list of cities. After a few seconds, I noticed something odd about them: the areas comprising the list were overwhelmingly Blue, not Red. Here’s a map in which the states containing the cities on the aforementioned list are color-coded based on how their cities voted (click to enlarge): […]