Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Housing Market Optimism

Jonathan McCarthy and Richard W. Peach of the New York Fed paint a relatively optimistic picture of the US’s housing market. From “Are Home Prices the Next Bubble?” FRBNY Economic Policy Review, Dec 2004: Home prices have been rising strongly since the mid-1990s, prompting concerns that a bubble exists in this asset class and that […]

Lost

Anyone else think that having Jack revive Charlie was pretty much the low point of the show so far? AB

Name that Quote

Yesterday PGL covered the surprising news that Snow will stay on at Treasury. From the news conference yesterday: “The president’s pleased that Secretary Snow agreed to continue serving as secretary of the Treasury,” McClellan said. When I heard this one of my favorite quotes immediately popped into my head: “I don’t think any of us […]

The Next Civil Rights Movement

The New York Times reports that the leaders of the gay rights movement are debating how to alter their strategies and tactics in the wake of the apparent recent backlash against homosexuals. Apparently some groups are moving away from trying to legalize same-sex marriages and toward more moderate, inoffensive, and uncontroversial policy stances. This strikes […]

So War is Expensive After All

Rumsfeld was in Kuwait hoping to cheer up the troops but faced a few tough questions: One soldier, identified by The Associated Press as Army Spc. Thomas Wilson of the 278th Regimental Combat Team, a Tennessee National Guard outfit, asked Rumsfeld why more military combat vehicles were not reinforced for battle conditions. “Why do we […]

Jack Snow to stay at Treasury

When I heard this news, I was looking for someone to say the obvious reason why Bush wants Snow to stay and AP’s Scott Lindlaw obliged: In February 2003, Snow replaced Paul O’Neill, whose blunt talking style – and open reservations about the wisdom of large tax cuts – irked the White House. Snow has […]

Oil Prices

Oil prices are way down over the past couple of weeks. Today they hovered in the $41-$42 per barrel range, compared to a high of around $55/bbl in October. There seems to have been considerable volatility in recent days, partly because of the impending OPEC meeting in which production quotas may be changed. Is it […]

Drug Sentencing

This probably represents a small victory for common sense: ALBANY, Dec. 7 — After years of false starts, state lawmakers voted Tuesday evening to reduce the steep mandatory prison sentences given to people convicted of drug crimes in New York State, sanctions considered among the most severe in the nation. The push to soften the […]

Overreaction

The Wall Street Journal ran a story today suggesting that some people are beginning to question the US government’s AAA bond rating. As bearish as I am on the dollar, I must say that I think that downgrading the rating of US government debt is something that will not happen in my lifetime. The reason […]

The Social Security Free Lunch

Bob Somerby has even more fun with the Social Security debate in his latest two Daily Howlers here and here. The second one reports on Paul Krugman’s excellent New York Times oped and then turns on David Brooks who appeared on This Week: BROOKS (12/5/04): First of all, we’re not going to increase the debt. […]