Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

A Gradual Comeback

I’m slowly going to start returning to work, and to posting here on Angry Bear, now that we in my household are gradually figuring out how to do things with two kids and irregular sleep. Thanks to all for your well wishes and congratulations. Now we just need some summer weather here in New England… […]

We All Knew That…

…but I didn’t expect him to come out and say it. While failing miserably to demonstrate any such improper use of statistics or data by Krugman, former Times public editor and ongoing twit Dan Okrent did at least manage to explain how David Brooks (and yes, Maureen Dowd, as well) stays employed: I also believe […]

On Monetary Economics: Fischer Black v. Milton Friedman

Tyler Cowen discusses a view put forth by Fischer Black that challenged part of Milton Friedman’s monetarist view: why did both Milton Friedman and Bob Solow scorn him as a macroeconomist? Well, Fischer pushed two (actually more) controversial claims. First, the Fed cannot influence real or nominal variables, unless traders allow it to … Black’s […]

Help Wanted from Monster.com

When we discussed the Help Wanted Advertising Index, some of our readers wondered if this was really a good index. David Altig suggests a couple of alternatives.

Putin Tax: Back in the USSR

What did the Beatles mean by “I’m back in the USSR. You don’t know how lucky you are boys”? And why is the Club for Growth crowd arguing we should emulate Russian economic policy as in this tribute from Stephen Moore: All over the world, from Estonia, to Albania, to Russia to Hong Kong, flat […]

Housing, the Fed and M3

The Federal Reserve has been sounding the alarm: the housing market is on fire! It started with Kohn 4/22/2005. “Prices have gone up far enough since [a couple of years ago] relative to interest rates, rents, and incomes to raise questions; recent reports from professionals in the housing market suggest an increasing volume of transactions […]

Increase in the Dividend Yield and the Samwick Effect

Is Meg Richards confused as to the fundamentals of finance: With earnings growth on the decline, there’s renewed interest in what was once considered an old-fashioned investment. Dividends – regular payments to shareholders out of a company’s retained earnings – have long provided a boost to total return, and now analysts say they could help […]

A Security For Calculated Risk to Buy

In a series of posts CR of Calculated Risk, who posts here most Mondays, argued rather conviningly that there is a housing bubble (e.g., here, here, and here). Soon, he’ll have a chance to bet invest accordingly (WSJ-subscription): Robert Shiller knows bubbles, and he might have just the solution. The Yale University finance professor – […]

Fact Checking Kudlow’s Latest

While Andrew Samwick has joined the cottage industry of those who parse every word from Paul Krugman, I like this standard: Challenge every assertion of fact, provide evidence to support it, or change the language to reflect alternative explanations. If the Times won’t do that, then who needs the Times? But why stop with applying […]