Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

The Laffer Curve in Everyday Life

Inspired by PGL’s reference to the debate between Nouriel Roubini and Art Laffer, I visited Laffer’s house to talk to him. But before I had a chance to ask him why he thinks the Laffer curve (the idea that cutting taxes will actually lead to higher tax revenues) actually has any empirical relevance to the […]

Nouriel Roubini v. the Free-Lunch Supply-Siders

Nouriel Roubini did yeoman’s work in his Déjà Vu Voodoo Economics (June 20), which was his summary of a debate with Art Laffer. Roubini noted that CNBC had him debate Laffer in light of this news, which included April tax revenues coming in $1 billion more than estimated. And yet, Victor Canto writes: It also […]

Growth Theory v. Monetary Economics: Mandel v. Thoma

Mark Mandel weighs in on a Mark Thoma critique of a column written by Chris Farrell – but seems to have missed the point of the Farrell-Thoma debate. Farrell and Thoma were discussing the role of monetary policy and the business cycle. As Mandel accuses Thoma of missing the point, he changes the discussion to […]

Fedspeak

One more thought about today’s FOMC statement: at a certain point, one starts to wonder why the FOMC can’t just use plain English when trying to convey its intentions. Currently, economists and financial market participants spend considerable time and energy trying to interpret exactly what the FOMC is signaling with its statements. So why can’t […]

Another Rate Hike

The FOMC just released its statement announcing that it has decided to increase the Federal Funds rate yet again by 0.25%, to 3.25%. This was expected. The only point of uncertainty was exactly what signal the Fed would send the market about future rate hikes. Would they suggest that this period of interest rate increases […]

An Amazing Story

In the wake of last week’s bid for Unocal by the Chinese oil firm CNOOC, the press has been full of stories about China’s newly emerging economic might. That economic power is real, and without a doubt will gradually change the way the world looks over the coming decades. From the US’s point of view, […]

A Rising Tide That Used to Lift All Boats

The following chart shows household real income for the tenth and twentieth percentiles per the data in table A3 of the Census Bureau’s Income, Poverty, and Health Insurance Coverage in the United States: 2003 (issued August 2004). Donald Luskin’s STILL MOVIN’ ON UP is supposed to appear in the National Review print edition on July […]

Linkery

James Hamilton…where have I heard that name before? Oh yes, grad school. He wrote the book on time series econometrics, literally. And now he has a blog. Also, Mark Thoma (Economist’s View) has moved his blog to typepad, update your bookmarks. AB

International Saving Comparisons

Following up on yesterday’s post about the capital flow puzzle, I thought I’d examine savings and consumption patterns more closely, since differences in savings behavior are (as I argued) the crucial determinants of the odd pattern that we currently see wherein poor countries are lending vast sums of money to the wealthy United States. The […]

Tom DeLay Understands Cost-of-Living Adjustments

While this story covers the $3100 increase in Congressional pay, let’s go to the end of the article: “It’s not a pay raise,” said House Majority Leader Tom DeLay, R-Texas. “It’s an adjustment so that they’re not losing their purchasing power.” The Congressman is exactly right as the percentage increase in nominal pay is less […]