All the experts tell us not to pay too much attention to polls for another week or two. Still, it does look as if Hillary Clinton got a big bounce from her convention, swamping her opponent’s bounce a week earlier. Better still, from the Democrats’ point of view, the swing in the polls appears to […]
Lifted from Robert’s Stochastic Thoughts: Ballance RIP Nothing lasts forever, not even the Washington Post’s devotion to Ballance. If Trump had said the earth is flat, they could have written “Opinions on shape of planet differ. Both sides have a point”. but if he asserts (in the same tweet) that it is flat, spherical, and […]
by Mike Kimel Explaining Trump’s Appeal, Part 1 The reason Donald Trump has been unstoppable so far is that Republicans, and now Democrats as well, don’t seem to understand what motivates Trump voters. The single most important driver is, as (almost) always, the economy. The table below illustrates the problem: Figure 1 As the graphs […]
The Clinton campaign has been strangely remiss in not publicizing the Trump campaign’s aggressive screening of journalists at Trump’s events—especially its denial of press credentials to several news media organizations, including the Washington Post and Politico. But this report by Paul Farhi, the Washington Post’s media reporter, this morning, titled “Post reporter barred, patted down […]
by Mike Kimel Google Trends and the Presidential Election I’m sure somebody has done this before, but I don’t remember seeing it. I used Google Trends to see how searches for the Democrat and Republican nominee for President stacked up in the first ten months of 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016 (YTD). I’d go back […]
by Mike Kimel Police Killings, Gender and Race Police killings of unarmed Black men have garnered a lot of attention lately. Black men are killed by police in numbers disproportionate to their share of the population. I want to put some numbers on that issue later in the post, and those numbers run counter to […]
Or so The Brookings Institute would like us to believe. What would cause Brookings to take such a stance especially since parts of the PPACA increased costs dramatically and premiums have increased dramatically? Coverage such as: mandated guaranteed issue regardless of health status; restrictions on the ability to charge different premiums based on anything besides […]
“You don’t own patriotism, you don’t own Christianity. You sure as hell don’t own respect for military, police and firefighters.” John Stewart If you have not seen John Stewart taking over for Stephen Colbert on The Late Show, take the 10 or so minutes necessary to listen to Stewart’s remarks and see him get his […]
by Mike Kimel Interactions Between Black People and the Police A lot of Americans want the police reigned in, particularly when it comes to their interactions with Black people. Black people are more likely to be stopped by police than people of other ethnicities, and sometimes those stops end badly. My take on this issue […]
It has been said, “a picture is worth a thousand words.” Forms of this phraseology can be traced back to 1911 with newspaper editor Tess Flanders discussing journalism and publicity. A Piqua, Ohio company (“Piqua Auto Supply House”) also used a form of it in an advertisement. I consulted in Piqua in the eighties. A […]