Barkley Rosser | April 23, 2020 8:56 am
Where Are People Dying Most Intensively Now of SARS-Cov-2?
I am putting this up because I have been hearing seeing people making claims about this that do not agree with what I have just seen at Statista for today, the 50th anniversary of the first Earth Day, for deaths per million according to the pandemic virus. I am not going to comment on the list further, although I am tempted, but the situation is changing so fast.
Belgium
Spain
Italy
France
United Kingdom
Netherlands
Switzerland
Sweden
Ireland
USA
Oh, I suppose I should provide the same list for infections per capita, a less definite number due to testing variations, than the former. Best I could do was a three day old list from Statista, but here it is:
Spain
Belgium
Ireland
Italy
Switzerland
USA
France
Portugal
Netherlands
UK
Addendum after 4 comments: Here are top 15 in terms of testing rates per capita
Switzerland
Portugal
Italy
Germany
Austria
Spain
Ireland
Canada
Russia
Belgium
USA
Netherlands
Turkey
UK
France
Barkley Rosser
It is best to go the comments at Econospeak to work through the stats.
I don’t think the deaths statistics are any better than the infections statistics.
Keep in mind that these country stats are not directly comparable at any given point in time if they are on different start points for infections. Typically others use ramp-up comparisons from a normalized starting point, like after the first 100 cases. This avoids the timeframe bias.
Eg. https://i.redd.it/sk9dd4lc0ao41.png
Rick:
Make your comment to Barkley here: https://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=4900303239154048192&postID=6258186612827871237&isPopup=true&bpli=1
… and using that type of comparison as a starting point, what’s most important is what’s happening to the slope of the line in each country. Tapering off, even if they started badly, implies they’ve figured out how to control the growth, but a straight line implies they’ve done little to address the problem broadly, and a curving upwards indicates they’ve done nothing at all and the disease is continuing to grow exponentially. Of course, this all assumes each country is equally consistent and accurate in its measurement protocols, and there’s no proof that this is the case broadly.