Supreme Court analysis: Donald Trump CECOT plan runs into wall

But the government barely provided any due process at all. Instead, it gave migrants notice “roughly 24 hours” before they were scheduled to be expelled to CECOT. These “notices” were entirely “devoid of information about how to exercise due process rights to contest that removal.” Such a barebones, eleventh-hour warning “surely does not pass muster,” the court concluded. It therefore decided, as a matter of law, that the Trump administration had run afoul of migrants’ due process rights. And it instructed the lower courts to determine exactly what kind of process would satisfy the Constitution. In the meantime, the court maintained its freeze on further deportations under the Alien Enemies Act, prohibiting the government from attempting more summary deportations from Texas to El Salvador under cover of darkness.

This holding, alone, is remarkable. The Supreme Court pointedly did not wait for the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 5th Circuit to opine on the due process question. Instead, it leapt over the 5th Circuit and decreed that the Trump administration ran afoul of the Constitution, only leaving the lower court to decide the contours of what process is due. (And the 5th Circuit’s eventual decision on the matter will stay frozen until SCOTUS intervenes again.) This procedure is rarely deployed and is reserved for extraordinary cases in which a lower court has failed to act swiftly and responsibly. Indeed, the majority opinion bristles with irritation that the (conservative-leaning) lower courts did not swiftly address the planned deportations in this case, dragging their feet for so long that SCOTUS had to step in. The majority sounds irritated not just that the government failed to heed its earlier admonition that migrants must get due process, but also that the lower courts did not expeditiously enforce that protection here.

The majority’s discussion of this issue evinces deep skepticism toward the executive branch’s credibility, questioning whether it could be trusted to respect the rights of any migrants if they are not all protected as a class. The Justice Department, it noted, had promised not to deport the handful of named plaintiffs leading this case while it is pending. But it did not promise to refrain from deporting anyone else. “We reject the proposition,” the majority wrote caustically, “that a class-action defendant may defeat class treatment, if it is otherwise proper, by promising as a matter of grace to treat named plaintiffs differently.”

The Supreme Court is going to hand Trump many victories over the course of his second term. But this issue has clearly divided the conservative supermajority and disturbed several justices who are generally inclined to rule for this president. It’s easy to see why.

What the government attempted to pass off here was an alarming and foundational affront to the Constitution. If the court did not draw a line here, it is hard to imagine where it ever would.