Sincere Advice For Donald Trump
Last I heard (6:52 PM EST October 10 2020) Donald Trump wants to sign a huge new stimulus bill. I don’t try to read his mind, but I think he is sincere. It is the only way he can win re-election. On the other hand, Mtich McConnell does not want the Senate to pass a huge stimulus bill. I assume that he assumes that Trump will lose and has already switched to the worse it is the better it is. What is a poor President to do ?
1) Mitch McConnell is not President of the Senate. The President of the Senate is named Michael Pence. Michael Pence can actually preside. Then if a Senator (say Charles Schumer) introduces a Mnuchin/Pelosi compromise bill, it can be debated (Pence need show no more respect for regular order than McConnell ever has). Then there will be a filibuster. VP Pence can declare the debate over and call a vote. This would be a lie about Senate rules. McConnell would object and the Senate would vote on the objection. The Democrats, independents and 3 Republicans would make a tie so Pence’s decision would stand. This is how filibusters are nuked. McConnell doesn’t have to be involved. He can be outvoted if there are three Republican Senators who do not want to break with Trump, go against public opinion, and lose their seats. Then there would be a vote. The Democrats, independents, 3 Republican Senators and Pence could send the bill to Donald Trump to sign.
I think it all works fine. Pence can say no to Trump (it is a tradition that Vice Presidents are servants of Presidents not a provision of the Constitution (as Jefferson and Adams might explain). It is possible that no Republican Senators would see any gain in breaking with Trump. It is almost certain that Trump won’t do this.
But I think it is his only chance of re-election.
If what you say is true, then Obama missed the ball bigly when he was not getting his nominees through.
I sure hope the Democrats are thinking like this now.
“Previous question motion ends debate or the filibuster and calls for a vote. Today, a majority is required to do so.
“But I think it is his only chance of re-election.”
Nope.
He has to have JoBiden thrown in the clink and then executed in order to win.
only chance of re-election.
”
Try a taxation bill!
tax bill to remove all tax from
1. Corporations
2. Payrolls
3. Capitol gains
4. Incomes
But heavy tax on real property, if and only if inflation hits 3%
Talk about getting everyone back to the workplace, back onto the payroll! Yep!
Even the downtrodden
ethnic
!
There is zero chance that a stimulus bill will have any effect on the election.
http://www.billiardsforum.com/billiard-terms-definition/leave
Definition of Leave
Leave is a billiards term that is a part of Billiard Technique Terminology.
Leave refers to the arrangement of the cue ball and the object balls after a shot has finished. Good leave refers to a favorable situation after a shot for the next shooting player, and bad leave refers to an unfavorable situation after a shot for the next shooting player. Leave also encompasses the act of leaving the incoming opponent safe.
Leave – Usage
That is the worst leave I have ever seen. There are literally no good shots on the table right now.
*
[As much as we all want Trump and the Senate Republicans to leave, then this event will unfold leaving the Democratic Party with the worst leave of any party change of government administrative control in US political history.]
“…the worst leave of any party change of government administrative control in US political history.”
*
[Yep. When the Democratic Party took control in 1933 during the worst of the Great Depression, they had terrible economic conditions, but actually a terrific leave. There should have been no doubt what their best plays were to be and there were plenty of them. People could work and new money had high multipliers. Unfortunately, they still needed a lot of nudging from Keynes and like-minded intellectuals in economics and finance to respond sufficiently to conditions, but the leave was a long run of easy plays to choose for any savvy player.
In 2021 the Democratic Party will face expensive and difficult solutions for public health and climate change that also have negative economic impacts initially. We will need courageous politicians among other oxymorons. The stimulus bill that the Republican controlled US Senate will apparently leave on the table now will be the only easy play that the Democratic Party will have in late January 2021 and it will not have much of a multiplier against the headwinds of Covid-19.]
Did you ever take and try and give an iron-clad leave to yourself from a three-rail billiard shot?
“…Mtich (sic) McConnell does not want the Senate to pass a huge stimulus bill… and has already switched to the worse it is the better it is…”
[Then Mtich the Btich should be happy either way. It will already be worse enough regardless, which should be better enough for the Btich. Not passing gas now is a gift to JoBiden, his only low hanging fruit in a gift basket.]
A big wrinkle in all this is when a vaccine comes online. I see where Azar is predicting emergency approval of the Pfizer and/or Moderna vaccine for the most vulnerable by December, all elderly by Jan/Feb and everyone by Spring. I don’t believe Azar for a second, but a robust and durable vaccine is the only way out.
The Democrats did indeed nuke the filibuster for nominations. I was talking about nuking. It is certainly true that aged Democratic Senators (in particular Leahy) were reluctant to play hard ball and paid attention to blue slips ( no need to define – they are obsolete). I don’t understand why people consider Obama responsible for the actions of Senators. He hasn’t been one for over a decade.
Robert:
On SCOTUS Justices, McConnell did away with filibustering for Justices. Dems left that one alone which required sixty votes.
If I thought that nuking stimulus might actually cause Trump to have been re-elected I would not have hit “post”. I assume no one pays attention to me, but I wouldn’t take any chances
@Joel,
Double-dog yep. Also, spring might be after the fact. Crematorium supply whole sellers will be a good investment :<)
The bug has gotten to move around unnoticed a lot during milder weather, but with winter pulmonary stress will be coming out of the woodwork. Building La Nina promises a milder winter in the mid-Atlantic where I live, but results may vary both here and elsewhere.
I use Aquaphor on my hands all winter, but what should I use on my lungs?
@Ron,
I’m in the Moderna trial, and currently have a high titer of spike antibody to protect my lungs, cardiovascular system and elsewhere. I still embrace social distancing and face masks if you can’t.
ditto on face masks and distancing
Joel and Run,
Ditto on ditto, but face coverings do a better job of protecting everyone else from the wearer than they do protecting the wearer from everyone else. So, I keep my distance and shop senior hours.
On the brighter side –
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graphics/2020/elections/early-voting-numbers-so-far/
The U.S. has hit 100% of
total 2016 early voting
At least 47.1 million have voted nationwide, and there are still 11 days until Election Day
tory by
Brittany Renee Mayes and
Kate Rabinowitz
Data analysis by Peter Andringa and
Lenny Bronner
Published on Oct. 20, 2020 | Data updated Oct. 23 at 6:30 a.m.
Early-voting counts show a record level of civic participation before Election Day. The tens of millions of ballots already cast show highly enthusiastic voters are making sure their votes are counted amid a pandemic.
Democrats hope this energy leads to a decisive victory on Nov. 3. Registered Democrats are outvoting Republicans by a large margin in states that provide partisan breakdowns of early ballots. Republicans, however, are more likely to tell pollsters they intend to vote in person, and the GOP is counting on an overwhelming share of the Election Day vote going to Trump…