Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Do economic crises reflect crises in economics?

Dan here…Worth reading the whole 12 pages.   (Hat tip New Deal democrat) Do economic crises reflect crises in economics? Keynote address, ‘Rethinking Economics’ conference, Stiftverband für die Deutsche Wissenschaft/Handelsblatt, Frankfurt am Main, 23 January 2012. Diane Coyle, Enlightenment Economics and Institute of Political and Economic Governance, University of Manchester   The ‘series of unfortunate […]

Is Real GDP at Potential?

I will present a way to determine potential real GDP using a regression of past data. First take the official CBO potential and subtract it from real GDP. When the red line is above zero (0), real GDP is over potential. Normally the red line rises above potential before a recession. So it looks as […]

Growing US Partisanship

I think you want to read this excellent post by Jonathan Chait. That is all. update: US partisanshipe appears to be the meme of the day. Dana Milbank (who is very different from Chait) also wrote about it. Milbank cites a different academic study. From the brief summaries both academic studies sound very convincing to […]

Northwest Plan for Social Security: Conservative “Workers – Take Your Medicine”-ism (and why this Social Democrat likes it)

Long time readers of Angry Bear will be familiar with the Northwest Plan for a Real Social Security Fix. It has been pushed here in a series of posts and in innumerable comments (mostly by Dale Coberly) since 2009 including this core post: NW Plan for a Real Social Security Fix Ver 2.0: 2009 Trigger. […]

National Debt: Since When is the Fed “The Public”?

This issue has been driving me crazy for a while, and I never see it written about. When responsible people talk about the national debt, they point to Debt Held by the Public: what the federal government owes to non-government entities — households, firms, and foreign entities. (Irresponsible people talk about Gross Public Debt — […]