Ethanol and food prices
It is my understanding that the major byproduct of ethanol is distillers grains that are used as feed for cattle, hogs and chicken with essentially the same nutritional value as feed grains that have not had ethanol distilled out of them. All distilling ethanol does is remove the starch from the food grains and leaves the protein, etc, that animals need to grow.
This means that the use of corn or other feed grains being used to produce ethanol does not divert feed grains out of the food chain.
A bushel of corn can be used to generate x pounds of beef or it can be used to generate z gallons of ethanol and almost the same x pounds of beef.
Doesn’t this imply the argument I see on economic blog after economic blog that ethanol production is playing a significant role in higher food prices is incorrect.
Rather the Department of Agriculture and/or Bush Administration argument that ethanol production plays an insignificant role in the current run up in food prices is correct.
Does somebody have reasonable evidence that this analysis is incorrect?
UPDATE !!!!
The beauty of the new world of the internet.
while I was looking into this question I ran across a very good article by Richard Perrin at the University of Nebraska on Ethanol and Food Prices
http://digitalcommons.unl.edu/ageconfacpub/49/
ABSTRACT:
Food prices in the
so I sent him an email with my question and he was nice enough to respond with this:
You are right. One-third of the corn processed for ethanol is expelled as distillers grains and solubles (DGS.) (One third is ethanol, one-third CO2.) DGS has slightly higher feed value than corn when it’s fed to ruminants (I have a publication with an animal scientist on this issue, if you become deeply interested, and could direct you to some others.) Since DGS can be directly substituted for corn, putting a ton of corn into an ethanol plant really only extracts 2/3 ton from the animal feed supply, so it would have been reasonable for me to assert that ethanol has accounted for only 30% of new net withdrawals of the world’s coarse grains since 2000 (rather than 40%.) China, Sub Saharan Africa, and South America are each responsible for about 15%.
So the standard treatment of ethanol in the press and blog is significantly misleading.