NOVEMBER RETAIL SALES DATA

The November retail sales data clearly do no support a recession scenario.

Nov(3)

Oct

sept

total

385,753

381,088

380,231

grocery

43,417

43,003

42,805

gas

39,438

36,919

35,806

Nonstore retailers………………………….

25,611

25,127

25,016

REMAINDER

277,287

276,039

276,604

About half of the nonstore retailers is fuel oil deliveries. So if you take out the price driven
large increases in food,gas, and nonstore retail there is still about a 0.5% gain. Moreover, for most of this it is real gains as prices for most retail goods are actually flat to down.

%

total

1.2

grocery

1.0

gas

6.8

nonstore retail

1.9

remainder

0.5