Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

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Speculation About Oil

Last Spring, some Democrats and liberals (Ed Schultz and Bernie Sanders spring readily to mind) who have somehow resisted the enlightenment of unfettered free markets suggested that high oil prices…

Discussing a Quotation

markets. The financial sector is assumed. Different financial possibilities are not allowed. Cocrane’s argument against restrictions on new financial instruments is based on the assumption that markets are complete. Such…

Speculation and Oil Prices

…For example, a paper that I just finished reading by Antonio Merino and Alvaro Ortiz (“Explaining the so-called ‘price premium’ in oil markets“) calculated that fundamental changes in supply and…

House Prices

…of looking at this data is at the level of local (i.e. metropolitan area) markets. The following two charts present a sampling of house prices in some major metropolitan markets

Political Markets I’ve referred to the Iowa Electronic Markets on political futures in past posts. The exchange creates contracts that pay either $0 or $1, depending on what happens. For…