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C+I+G+T

…that roughly personal savings financed the housing sector and business savings financed nonresidential fixed investments. Each ran a small surplus that financed the federal deficit and left a small surplus…

Politics vs. the Economy: Turkey edition

…contentious constitutional reform. (IHS Global Insight, subscription required, forecasts Turkey’s current account deficit to be 3.3% of GDP in 2010 and the fiscal deficit to be 5.1% of GDP). Constitutional…

Trade deficits resume upward climb

…from Japan to Germany, widening the deficit further…. The size of our trade deficit is the size of the leak of demand from the American economy. The Obama administration is…

The Northwest Plan: a Real Fix for Social Security

…smaller than the 1.95 percent deficit projected in last year’s report. This deficit indicates that financial adequacy of the program for the next 75 years could be restored if increases…

DI: the Sick Man of Social Security

…in 2008, reality returned a cash deficit of $8 billion. Where the Trustees showed a cash deficit of $4.6 billion for 2009, CBO now projects $20 billion. And where the…

Another look at the budget deficits

…baseline… These adjustments are detailed in the appendix table. Cumulatively, they point to deficits of $10.2 trillion over the next 10 years… CBO estimates that the cumulative deficit from 2010…

Optimal Fiscal Policy in a Liquidity Trap: Comment

…fiscal policy to keep the unemployment rate exactly at the NAIRU. Since writing the post, Krugman has been wondering why Obama is so much less ambitious. I try to explain…