Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Mark Thoma, cyclical unemployment & insufficient effective demand

Mark Thoma, professor at the University of Oregon,, posted an article about why labor markets are struggling, “What is driving changes in the job market?” at CBS Money watch. He basically says that the labor market problems are cyclical, which means a Keynesian demand-deficient unemployment. There isn’t enough demand to allow unemployment to fall more […]

EITC refund withheld in student loan default

Jared Bernstein writes about the EITC today (Earned Income Tax Credit), which is a program to help lift people out of poverty when they fall into low-paying jobs. I just want to add another wrinkle to the story. When a student defaults on their student loans, which is something that will happen more and more […]

Are Government Bonds Net Poverty ?

Some economists seem to argue that expansionary fiscal policy is both completely ineffective and will place the burden of debt on our children. Yes I am arguing with a straw man (it is time for the two minutes Chait). Straw economist argues two things. First there is Ricardian equivalence so temporary tax cuts do not […]

OBAMACARE,THE SEQUESTER and part time employment

It is time to get serious. There are widespread claims that firms are cutting  hours worked and converting full time jobs into part time jobs because of Obama-care. So what does the data say.  Below is a table of unpublished data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of part time employment by private and […]

High-Frequency Traders are Eating Investors’ Brains. For Free!

It can be tough to articulate a cogent argument against high-frequency trading in the context of highly liquid, efficiently functioning securities markets, but I think Rajiv Sethi has done so (riffing off Michael Lewis’s typically scathing and revealing article on Goldman’s recent bad behavior). In brief, in my words: 1. Value investors are trying to buy shares in […]

Labor share affects the potential of investment to raise GDP

The circular flow is a model used to show how money and products move through an economy. I am going to use a simplified version to show the effect of labor share of income on GDP. Many people think that labor income is not quantitatively different than capital income. I will show that the equilibrium […]

Let’s Debase the Dollar!

A lot of people, especially conservatives, complain about the so-called debasement of the U.S. dollar. For example, Craig R. Smith, who is apparently important enough to be interviewed by “FOX News, CNN, CNBC, ABC, NBC, CBS, PBS, CBN, TBN, Time, The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, and Newsweek,” wrote a book last year […]