Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

Telecoms Deregulation ?

Robert Waldmann There seems to be a widespread view that the US experience with deregulation has been mixed. Financial deregulation was a disaster, but airline deregulation and telecoms deregulation were OK (except for how crowded airports are and irritating advertisements by competing phone companies). What is this “telecoms deregulation” of which you speak. I absolutely […]

A First Year (graduate) Microeconomics Lesson

Robert Waldmann I think it is not clear to all readers why I assert that in the simplest possible model of financial markets all agents will invest proportionally in all tranches of all CDOs. I’m not sure I can present even the simplest model in plain ascii. Also the model is very simple and you […]

The Policy Debate vs The Policy Horse Race

Robert Waldmann Senator Mark Warner said something about derivatives reform. I kept reading a version of what he said which seemed implausible to me. I had trouble finding a transcript or video of him speaking. In the end very beginning but I’m an idiot and didn’t notice: I found it. It confirms my suspicions.Warner is […]

What is the point of innovative financial instruments ?

Robert Waldmann claims that, after the invention of the mortgage based security, which clearly served to diversify risk, there have been three main purposes : weakening the effects of prudential regulations, weakening the effects of prudential charters and making balance sheets look better. I remain very ignorant about banking and real world finance. Some time […]

The Collins Mixer

Robert Waldmann Republican Susan Collins proposed an amendment to tighten bank capital reqirements. It passed unanimously, but might be removed in conference because the Obama Treasury is opposed. The world is upside down. One key issue is whether banks can use “Trust preferred securities” to evade satisfy capital requirements. After the jump, I will ask […]

Quote of the day

Robert Waldmann Felix Salmon wrote “S&P and Moody’s are clearly completely incompetent, and no one should base any investment decisions on the random series of letters they apply to bonds.” second quote (from comments) “… But without rating agencies…… who other than big investment companies/funds that have their own in-house muscle to do due-diligence can […]

Find the Mistake

Robert Waldmann Alex Tabarrok wrote In Too Big To Save Robert Pozen gives a clever example, based on an excellent paper by Coval, Jurek and Stafford, which explains both the lure of structured finance and why the model exploded so quickly. Suppose we have 100 mortgages that pay $1 or $0. The probability of default […]

Liquidity

“Liquidity” is another magic word. I like it rather less than “friction.” In the debate on financial regulatory reform opponents of tight regulations use the word liquidity as a magic spell which, they hope, will make all inconvenient evidence and arguments go away (no links my claim is like saying the Sun emits light). The […]

Friction a non Socratic dialogue

Robert Waldmann John Q. Policymaker is driving a minivan. Maynard Keynes is in the passenger seat, Ed Prescott and Robert Lucas are in the second row of seats and Eugene Fama and John Cochrane are in the back seats. John Q: We are heading for a cliff !Maynard: slam on the brakes. Prescott: I don’t […]

Friction

Robert Waldmann Isaac Newton inspired many people to try to be the Newton of various fields. Unfortunately many tried the shortcut of using the same words as Newton but changing their meanings. This meant that those words had high status, because of Newton, but nothing to do with Newton’s success in fitting facts. One such […]